NFL action for Week 16 includes the Houston Texans and Nico Collins facing the Las Vegas Raiders at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s dig into all of the prop bets available for Collins in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Nico Collins to go over 69.5 yards
Nico Collins Prop Lines
- Matchup: Houston Texans vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: December 21, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 69.5 (-111)
Nico Collins Stats and Trends
- Collins has put up a team-best 1,001 yards (on 64 catches) with six TDs so far this year. He’s been targeted 107 times, resulting in 77.0 yards per game.
- Collins averages 77.0 receiving yards, 7.5 more than his over/under for Sunday.
- Collins has gained over 69.5 receiving yards in eight of 13 games this season.
- His 77.0 receiving yards per game are 5.3 more than his average over/under (71.7).
- Collins has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in eight of 13 games.
- He has had a touchdown catch in five of 13 games this season, and scored more than once on one of those occasions.
Recent Performances vs. the Raiders
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patriots | 276 | 1 |
| 2 | Chargers | 236 | 2 |
| 3 | Commanders | 199 | 1 |
| 4 | Bears | 202 | 1 |
| 5 | Colts | 221 | 2 |
| 6 | Titans | 160 | 1 |
| 7 | Chiefs | 282 | 3 |
| 9 | Jaguars | 216 | 0 |
| 10 | Broncos | 136 | 1 |
| 11 | Cowboys | 267 | 4 |
| 12 | Browns | 206 | 1 |
| 13 | Chargers | 149 | 2 |
| 14 | Broncos | 204 | 0 |
| 15 | Eagles | 204 | 3 |
Texans Home Splits
- In home games, the Texans put up 26.4 points per game and concede 17.3. That’s more than they score (23.1) and concede (16.3) overall.
- At home, the Texans rack up 347.7 yards per game and give up 267.9. That’s more than they gain overall (327.7), but less than they allow (269.2).
- The Texans accumulate 229.4 passing yards per game in home games (10 more than their overall average), and concede 166.7 at home (9.8 less than overall).
- The Texans accumulate 118.3 rushing yards per game at home (9.9 more than their overall average), and give up 101.1 at home (8.4 more than overall).
- The Texans’ offensive third-down percentage (40.2%) and defensive third-down percentage (35.2%) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 37.5% and 33.9%, respectively.
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