NFL play for Week 4 includes the Houston Texans and Nico Collins facing the Tennessee Titans at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Collins’ matchup.

Nico Collins Prop Lines

• Matchup: Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: September 28, 2025
• Receiving yards prop: Over 70.5 (-112)

Nico Collins Stats and Trends

• So far this season Collins has 14 grabs (on 25 targets) for a team-leading 181 yards and two scores, averaging 60.3 yards per game.
• Collins’ 60.3 receiving yards average is 10.2 less than his prop total on Sunday.
• Collins has put up more than 70.5 receiving yards in one out of three games this season.
• His average of 60.3 receiving yards is lower than his average prop total of 77.8.
• Collins has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in one of three games this season.
• He has two touchdown catches this season in three games, one apiece on two occasions.

Recent Performances vs. the Titans

Texans Home Splits (Last Season)

• The Texans’ average points scored (20.1) and allowed (21.8) in home games were both lower than their overall averages of 21.9 and 21.9, respectively.
• The Texans’ average yards gained (304.1) and conceded (308.4) at home were both lower than their overall averages of 319.7 and 315, respectively.
• The Texans racked up 229.5 passing yards per game at home (22.1 more than their overall average), and gave up 173.1 at home (27.9 less than overall).
• The Texans accumulated 74.6 rushing yards per game at home (37.7 less than their overall average), and conceded 135.3 at home (21.3 more than overall).
• The Texans’ third-down percentages on offense (36.6%) and defense (32.7%) in home games were both lower than their overall numbers of 37.7% and 35.9%, respectively.