The No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels (12-1, 0-0 ACC) are heavy, 13.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a six-game win streak when they host the Florida State Seminoles (7-6, 0-0 ACC) on Tuesday, December 30, 2025 at Dean E. Smith Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under set at 167.5 points.
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North Carolina Cover -13.5 vs Florida State -108
North Carolina vs. Florida State betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -962
- Florida State moneyline odds to win: +623
- Spread: North Carolina (-13.5)
- Total: 167.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread last season, North Carolina performed better when playing at home, covering seven times in 15 home games, and four times in 12 road games.
- In terms of point totals, the Tar Heels hit the over less often at home last season, as they eclipsed the total seven times in 15 opportunities (46.7%). In road games, they hit the over seven times in 12 opportunities (58.3%).
- In 14 home games as a moneyline favorite last year, North Carolina had 12 wins (.857). North Carolina owned the same winning percentage (6-1 record) as a moneyline favorite in away games.
Last season stats
- The Tar Heels were 29th in college basketball in points scored (80.7 per game) and 261st in points allowed (74.7) last year.
- On the boards, North Carolina was 105th in college basketball in rebounds (33.2 per game) last year. It was 182nd in rebounds allowed (31.2 per game).
- Last season the Tar Heels were ranked 93rd in the country in assists with 14.7 per game.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-5-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 1-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 4-9-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-0 (Home: 8-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5 (91st in nation) | 36.2 (fourth) | 39.2 (13th) | 29.1 (92nd) | 17.2 (61st) | 10.1 (62nd) |
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Florida State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Florida State had a better winning percentage at home (.625, 10-6-0 record) than away (.364, 4-7-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Seminoles games finished over seven of 16 times at home (43.8%) and six of 11 on the road (54.5%) last year.
- When moneyline underdogs last season, the Seminoles won a higher percentage of games at home (2-3) than on the road (2-7).
Last season stats
- The Seminoles were 153rd in the nation last year with 74.5 points per game. At the other end, they ranked 195th with 72.5 points allowed per game.
- With 31.3 boards per game, Florida State ranked 214th in college basketball. It gave up 31.8 rebounds per contest, which ranked 217th in college basketball.
- The Seminoles delivered 13.0 assists per game, which ranked them 219th in college basketball.
Florida State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-7-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 5-8-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 6-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.2 (314th in nation) | 44.2 (223rd) | 34.9 (106th) | 36.1 (346th) | 16.2 (92nd) | 12.3 (237th) |
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