The North Carolina Tar Heels (17-11, 10-6 ACC) are favored (-3.5) to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Florida State Seminoles (16-11, 7-9 ACC) at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. The game airs on ESPN. The matchup’s point total is set at 156.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
North Carolina Cover -3.5 vs Florida State -109
North Carolina vs. Florida State betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -170
- Florida State moneyline odds to win: +142
- Spread: North Carolina (-3.5)
- Total: 156
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- North Carolina has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-7-0) than it has in road affairs (2-8-0).
- In terms of over/unders, the Tar Heels hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total six times in 13 opportunities this season (46.2%). In road games, they have hit the over five times in 10 opportunities (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, North Carolina has taken 11 of 13 games at home, good for a .846 winning percentage. It has won four of five games away from home (.800) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 77.2 points a contest compared to the 80.9 they’ve averaged this year.
- North Carolina’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (76.7) is 0.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (76.3).
- Over their last 10 contests, the Tar Heels are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (7.4), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (35.7% compared to 33.8% season-long).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-19-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 2-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 7-11-0 (As Favorite: 7-13-0; As Underdog: 2-6-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 11-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (48th in nation) | 43.2 (143rd) | 33.4 (95th) | 31.9 (233rd) | 14.4 (123rd) | 10.7 (123rd) |
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Florida State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Florida State has performed better against the spread at home (9-5-0) than on the road (3-6-0) this year.
- Looking at the over/under, Seminoles games have finished over less frequently at home (six of 14, 42.9%) than away (five of nine, 55.6%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Seminoles have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-2) than away (2-5).
Recent trends
- The Seminoles are posting 71.2 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 4.3 fewer points than their average for the season (75.5).
- While Florida State is ceding 71.4 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 74.3 points per contest.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Seminoles are draining 5.3 three-pointers per game, 0.8 fewer threes than their season average (6.1). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (27.6%) compared to their season average (31.1%).
Florida State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 2-6-0 (As Favorite: 11-5-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
- O-U-P: 11-16-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (130th in nation) | 41.2 (50th) | 31.8 (195th) | 31.6 (207th) | 13.4 (200th) | 12.4 (282nd) |
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