The Miami Hurricanes (6-22, 2-15 ACC) are heavy underdogs (by 16.5 points) to end a 12-game road losing streak when they visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (18-11, 11-6 ACC) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET. The matchup has a point total of 160.5.

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North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) betting lines

• North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -2128
• Miami (FL) moneyline odds to win: +1090
• Spread: North Carolina (-16.5)
• Total: 160.5

North Carolina statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• North Carolina sports a better record against the spread when playing at home (6-7-0) than it does in away games (3-8-0).
• Looking at point totals, the Tar Heels hit the over less consistently in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total six times in 13 opportunities this season (46.2%). On the road, they have hit the over six times in 11 opportunities (54.5%).
• North Carolina has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 11-2 (.846). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 5-1 (.833).

Recent trends

• In their last 10 games, the Tar Heels have been putting up 79.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 81.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
• North Carolina has been less stingy on defense as of late, allowing 78 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 76.6 points per game its opponents average on the 2024-25 season.
• The Tar Heels’ past 10 outings have seen them make 7.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.7% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 7.5 makes and 34%.

North Carolina betting records this season

• ATS Record: 10-19-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-8-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 2-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-13-0; As Underdog: 2-6-0)
• O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 6-5-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-4 (Home: 11-2; Away: 5-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)

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Miami (FL) statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• In 2024-25 against the spread, Miami (FL) has a lower winning percentage at home (.250, 4-12-0 record) than on the road (.500, 4-4-0).
• Hurricanes games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (11 times out of 16) than on the road (four of eight) this year.
• When moneyline underdogs, the Hurricanes have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-5) than on the road (0-6).

Recent trends

• The Hurricanes have played worse offensively in their previous 10 games, averaging 70.7 points per contest, 3.4 fewer points their than season average of 74.1.
• Miami (FL) is allowing 82.3 points per game over its past 10 games, which is two more points than it is allowing for the season (80.3).
• The Hurricanes are draining 6.6 treys per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.6 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.2). Additionally, they own a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.4%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (31.5%).

Miami (FL) betting records this season

• ATS Record: 9-19-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 4-4-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 2-12-0; As Underdog: 7-7-0)
• O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 4-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-9 (Home: 4-5; Away: 0-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-13 (Home: 1-5; Away: 0-6)