The NC State Wolfpack (9-6, 2-2 ACC) are 4.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on a four-game home win streak when they take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (10-6, 3-1 ACC) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Lenovo Center. The contest airs at 4:00 PM ET on ACC Network. The matchup’s point total is set at 153.5.
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North Carolina Cover -4.5 vs NC State -111
North Carolina vs. NC State betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -200
- NC State moneyline odds to win: +165
- Spread: North Carolina (-4.5)
- Total: 153.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, North Carolina has played worse when playing at home, covering three times in seven home games, and two times in four road games.
- At home, the Tar Heels eclipse the total 42.9% of the time (three of seven games). They hit the over more consistently in away games, exceeding the total in 50% of games (two of four).
- North Carolina has played worse as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 6-1, compared to going 2-0 away from home.
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 81.4 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.0 points fewer than the 84.4 they’ve scored this season.
- The last 10 games have seen North Carolina allow 0.4 more points per game (78.8) than its season-long average (78.4).
- During their past 10 contests, the Tar Heels are making 0.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.5 compared to 7.6 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (30.7% compared to 32.5% season-long).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-10-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-6-0 (As Favorite: 4-7-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (71st in nation) | 42.4 (142nd) | 34.4 (92nd) | 33.6 (295th) | 14.3 (159th) | 11.1 (138th) |
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NC State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, NC State performed better at home (7-9-1) than away (4-6-1) last year.
- In terms of the over/under, Wolfpack games finished over less often at home (nine of 17, 52.9%) than on the road (six of 11, 54.5%) last season.
- As moneyline underdogs last year, the Wolfpack won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (2-6).
Recent trends
- While the Wolfpack are posting 72.5 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, amassing 67.2 points per contest.
- While NC State is surrendering 66.9 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 68.6 points per contest.
- In their previous 10 games, the Wolfpack are making 6.7 threes per contest, 0.6 more than their season average (6.1). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (34.7%) compared to their season average (32.6%).
NC State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-10-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 0-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 0-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 0-5-0)
- O-U-P: 5-10-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 9-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (152nd in nation) | 44.0 (229th) | 30.1 (308th) | 31.9 (229th) | 13.1 (237th) | 9.5 (23rd) |
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