The No. 22 North Carolina Tar Heels (14-4, 2-3 ACC) are heavily favored (by 13.5 points) to extend a 12-game home win streak when they host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-8, 1-4 ACC) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The over/under is 149.5 in the matchup.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
North Carolina Cover -13.5 vs Notre Dame -110
North Carolina vs. Notre Dame betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -1087
- Notre Dame moneyline odds to win: +688
- Spread: North Carolina (-13.5)
- Total: 149.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Carolina has done a better job covering the spread at home (6-5-0) than it has in road games (1-3-0).
- In home games, the Tar Heels go over the over/under 36.4% of the time (four of 11 games). They hit the over more often on the road, topping the total in 75% of games (three of four).
- North Carolina has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 10-0 (1.000). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 0-2 (.000).
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels have seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 82.5 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.6 points more than the 81.9 they’ve scored this year.
- North Carolina’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (72.8) is 3.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.6).
- The Tar Heels are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.0 threes per game and shooting 35.4% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.5 makes and 33.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-10-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-9-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 8-10-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 10-0; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0 (53rd in nation) | 39.8 (29th) | 37.1 (28th) | 28.3 (47th) | 16.9 (50th) | 10.2 (77th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on North Carolina vs. Notre Dame? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Notre Dame statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Notre Dame has a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 5-5-0 record) than on the road (.800, 4-1-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Fighting Irish games have gone over eight of 10 times at home (80%), and three of five on the road (60%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Fighting Irish have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-2) than on the road (2-3).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Fighting Irish are scoring 71.8 points per contest, compared to their season average of 73.4.
- Over its previous 10 games, Notre Dame is giving up 70.9 points per game, 1.6 more points than its season average (69.3).
- The Fighting Irish are sinking 8.9 threes per contest with a 37.1% three-point percentage in their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.6 and 36.2%.
Notre Dame betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-8-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 4-1-0)
- O-U-P: 11-7-0 (Home: 8-2-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 6-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (172nd in nation) | 41.9 (80th) | 34.2 (103rd) | 27.0 (14th) | 11.9 (321st) | 11.6 (203rd) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
