An opening-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 11-seed North Carolina Tar Heels (23-13) play as a 1.5-point favorite against the No. 6 seed Ole Miss Rebels (22-11) on Friday at Fiserv Forum. The matchup tips off at 4:05 p.m. ET on TNT. Here’s a look into this 6-11 matchup before filling out your brackets. The matchup has an over/under set at 155.5 points.
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North Carolina Cover -1.5 vs Ole Miss -113
North Carolina vs. Ole Miss betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -125
- Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +106
- Spread: North Carolina (-1.5)
- Total: 155.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, putting up 83.6 points per contest compared to the 81.2 they’ve averaged this season.
- North Carolina has been tougher on defense as of late, allowing 69.5 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 74.8 points per game its opponents average on the 2024-25 season.
- The Tar Heels are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 9.9 threes per game and shooting 43.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.1 makes and 36.0% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-20-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 13-13-0 (As Favorite: 13-13-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
- O-U-P: 19-17-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (36th in nation) | 43.1 (131st) | 33.3 (98th) | 31.0 (171st) | 14.6 (100th) | 10.6 (130th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on North Carolina vs. Ole Miss? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Ole Miss statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Rebels have fared worse offensively in their last 10 games, compiling 73.9 points per contest, 3.3 fewer points their than season average of 77.2.
- In its previous 10 games, Ole Miss is allowing 79.4 points per contest, 7.7 more points than its season average (71.7).
- Over their last 10 games, the Rebels are making 6.6 three-pointers per contest, 1.6 fewer threes than their season average (8.2). They also have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.0%) compared to their season average (34.1%).
Ole Miss betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-17-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 8-6-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 8-6-0)
- O-U-P: 17-16-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-2 (Home: 12-2; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 (204th in nation) | 43.3 (140th) | 29.6 (314th) | 33.5 (309th) | 14.2 (127th) | 8.5 (fourth) |
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