The No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels (13-1, 1-0 ACC) are favored (-1.5) to build on a seven-game win streak when they visit the SMU Mustangs (11-2, 0-0 ACC) at 2:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 3, 2026 at Moody Coliseum. The game airs on The CW Network. The over/under for the matchup is set at 154.5.
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North Carolina Cover -1.5 vs SMU -109
North Carolina vs. SMU betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -122
- SMU moneyline odds to win: +102
- Spread: North Carolina (-1.5)
- Total: 154.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In home games last season, North Carolina sported a better record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (4-8-0).
- When it came to point totals, the Tar Heels hit the over less consistently at home last year, as they exceeded the total seven times in 15 opportunities (46.7%). In road games, they hit the over seven times in 12 opportunities (58.3%).
- North Carolina, as a moneyline favorite, had the same winning percentage when playing at home (12-2 record) and away from home (6-1 record) last year.
Last season stats
- Offensively, the Tar Heels were the 29th-ranked team in college basketball (80.7 points per game) last year. On defense, they were 261st (74.7 points allowed per game).
- At 33.2 rebounds per game and 31.2 rebounds allowed, North Carolina was 105th and 182nd in the country, respectively, last year.
- With 14.7 assists per game last season, the Tar Heels were 93rd in the nation.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 1-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 4-10-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 9-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (106th in nation) | 36.1 (second) | 39.6 (11th) | 29.3 (97th) | 17.2 (59th) | 9.9 (51st) |
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SMU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- SMU’s winning percentage against the spread at home was .412 (7-10-0) last season. On the road, it was .455 (5-6-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Mustangs games went over more frequently at home (11 of 17, 64.7%) than away (five of 11, 45.5%) last year.
- As moneyline underdogs, the Mustangs won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-3) and away (0-2) last season.
Last season stats
- The Mustangs posted 79.9 points per game (40th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while ceding 71.3 points per contest (152nd-ranked).
- SMU grabbed 34.7 rebounds per game (43rd-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 29.0 rebounds per contest (53rd-ranked).
- The Mustangs averaged 15.9 assists per game, which ranked them 42nd in the nation.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-7-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 8-5-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-0 (Home: 9-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.9 (28th in nation) | 41.8 (98th) | 36.5 (51st) | 31.5 (211th) | 19.0 (18th) | 11.2 (145th) |
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