The No. 14 North Carolina Tar Heels (14-2, 2-1 ACC) visit the Stanford Cardinal (13-4, 2-2 ACC) in a matchup of ACC teams at Maples Pavilion, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 14, 2026. The Tar Heels are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s point total is set at 145.5.

Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!

North Carolina vs. Stanford betting lines

• North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -199
• Stanford moneyline odds to win: +165
• Spread: North Carolina (-4.5)
• Total: 145.5

North Carolina statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• North Carolina did a better job covering the spread at home (7-8-0) last season than it did in road affairs (4-8-0).
• When playing at home last year, the Tar Heels went over the total 46.7% of the time (seven of 15 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, exceeding the total in 58.3% of games (seven of 12).
• North Carolina, as a moneyline favorite, had the same winning percentage when playing at home (12-2 record) and away from home (6-1 record) last season.

Recent trends

• On the offensive side of the ball, the Tar Heels have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 78.2 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 81.7 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
• North Carolina has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 68.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 67.1 it has conceded this season.
• The Tar Heels are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 8.5 threes per game and shooting 33.5% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.6 makes and 33.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

North Carolina betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-8-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 6-5-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
• O-U-P: 6-10-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 1-1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-0 (Home: 10-0; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on North Carolina vs. Stanford? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Stanford statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Stanford’s winning percentage against the spread at home last season was .611 (11-7-0). On the road, it was .273 (3-8-0).
• In 2024-25, a lower percentage of the Cardinal’s games finished above the over/under at home (38.9%, seven of 18) compared to away (45.5%, five of 11).

Recent trends

• In their previous 10 games, the Cardinal are averaging 73.9 points per game, 3.0 fewer points than their season average (76.9).
• Over its last 10 games, Stanford is surrendering 69.8 points per game, compared to its season average of 70.6 points allowed.
• The Cardinal are making 0.1 fewer three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games (8.3) compared to their season average (8.4), and they are producing the same three-point percentage over their previous 10 games compared to their season mark (33.5%).

Stanford betting records this season

• ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 1-2-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
• O-U-P: 6-11-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 1-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-1 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-1)