The Virginia Cavaliers (13-13, 6-9 ACC) visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-11, 9-6 ACC) after winning three road games in a row. The Tar Heels are favored by 9.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 22, 2025. The matchup’s over/under is set at 140.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.52
North Carolina Cover -9.5 vs Virginia -108
North Carolina vs. Virginia betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -493
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: +371
- Spread: North Carolina (-9.5)
- Total: 140.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Carolina has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in 12 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered two times in 10 opportunities in road games.
- In terms of point totals, the Tar Heels hit the over less often in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total five times in 12 opportunities this season (41.7%). In road games, they have hit the over five times in 10 opportunities (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, North Carolina has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.833) compared to away games (.800).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Tar Heels have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 77 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 80.9 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
- North Carolina has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 75.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 76.7 it has surrendered per game this season.
- While the Tar Heels are hitting fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (7 per game) when compared to their season-long average (7.4), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.1% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 33.2% on the season).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-19-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 2-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 6-13-0; As Underdog: 2-6-0)
- O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-4 (Home: 10-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (49th in nation) | 43.2 (144th) | 33.5 (94th) | 32.3 (260th) | 14.4 (125th) | 10.7 (122nd) |
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Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Virginia has had better results away (4-4-0) than at home (7-8-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Cavaliers games have gone over less often at home (eight of 15, 53.3%) than on the road (six of eight, 75%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Cavaliers have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-5) than on the road (3-5).
Recent trends
- The Cavaliers are putting up 69.1 points per contest over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 64.5.
- Virginia is ceding 67.9 points per game over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 65.5 points allowed.
- In their last 10 games, the Cavaliers are sinking 9.2 treys per contest, 0.8 more than their season average (8.4). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (38.5%) compared to their season average (37.6%).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 2-5-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 8-9-0)
- O-U-P: 16-10-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-12 (Home: 1-5; Away: 3-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 (194th in nation) | 43.2 (144th) | 27.7 (347th) | 29.7 (95th) | 15.3 (73rd) | 9.3 (19th) |
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