The No. 18 North Carolina Tar Heels (22-6, 10-5 ACC) host the Virginia Tech Hokies (18-10, 7-8 ACC) after winning 17 straight home games. The Tar Heels are favored by 7.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The point total is set at 149.5 for the matchup.
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North Carolina Cover -7.5 vs Virginia Tech -111
North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -334
- Virginia Tech moneyline odds to win: +260
- Spread: North Carolina (-7.5)
- Total: 149.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Carolina sports a better record against the spread at home (10-6-0) than it does in away games (4-5-0).
- The Tar Heels have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (37.5%) than road games (55.6%).
- North Carolina has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 13-0 (1.000). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 1-3 (.250).
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, racking up 78.2 points a contest compared to the 80.6 they’ve averaged this season.
- North Carolina has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 72.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.8 it has conceded this season.
- The Tar Heels’ last 10 outings have seen them make 8.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 33.6% from deep. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 8.4 makes and 33.7%.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 9-6-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 12-16-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 13-0; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-3 (Home: 2-0; Away: 3-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (54th in nation) | 41.2 (38th) | 35.2 (38th) | 30.2 (133rd) | 16.1 (61st) | 9.3 (37th) |
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Virginia Tech statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Virginia Tech’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (8-8-0). Away, it is .875 (7-1-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Hokies games have gone over 50% of the time this year, both at home (eight of 16) and on the road (four of eight).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Hokies have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than on the road (3-5).
Recent trends
- The Hokies are averaging 73.1 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 5.7 fewer points than their average for the season (78.8).
- Virginia Tech is allowing 74.2 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 0.2 more points than it is allowing for the season (74.0).
- Over their previous 10 games, the Hokies are sinking 8.8 three-pointers per game, 0.3 more than their season average (8.5). They also sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.6%) compared to their season average (35.6%).
Virginia Tech betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-12-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 7-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-8-0; As Underdog: 9-4-0)
- O-U-P: 14-14-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-2 (Home: 12-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-8 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.3 (179th in nation) | 44.3 (183rd) | 32.4 (155th) | 31.7 (228th) | 14.4 (144th) | 9.9 (64th) |
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