The No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels (13-2, 1-1 ACC) are heavily favored (by 10.5 points) to build on an 11-game home winning streak when they host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (10-6, 1-2 ACC) on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 152.5.
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North Carolina Cover -10.5 vs Wake Forest -112
North Carolina vs. Wake Forest betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -633
- Wake Forest moneyline odds to win: +457
- Spread: North Carolina (-10.5)
- Total: 152.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home last season, North Carolina owned a better record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (4-8-0).
- The Tar Heels went over the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (46.7%) than road tilts (58.3%) last season.
- In 14 home games as a moneyline favorite last season, North Carolina had 12 wins (.857). North Carolina sported the same winning percentage (6-1 record) as a moneyline favorite on the road.
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, racking up 78.0 points a contest compared to the 81.3 they’ve averaged this season.
- The last 10 games have seen North Carolina allow 1.4 more points per game (67.3) than its season-long average (65.9).
- While the Tar Heels are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (8.4 per game) when compared to their season-long average (8.6), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.1% from deep over the last 10, 33.6% on the season).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-7-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-6-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 5-10-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 9-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (93rd in nation) | 37.6 (fourth) | 38.7 (13th) | 29.0 (80th) | 17.5 (41st) | 9.9 (46th) |
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Wake Forest statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Wake Forest performed better against the spread away (6-6-0) than at home (6-10-0) last year.
- Looking at the over/under, Demon Deacons games finished over less frequently at home (seven of 16, 43.8%) than on the road (six of 12, 50%) last year.
- The Demon Deacons, when moneyline underdogs, won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (2-5) last year.
Recent trends
- While the Demon Deacons are posting 81.6 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, tallying 79.2 points per contest.
- While Wake Forest is allowing 74.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its last 10 games, allowing 74.4 points per contest.
- Over their last 10 games, the Demon Deacons are draining 8.9 threes per contest, the same number as their season average. They have a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (34.1%) compared to their season average (33.6%).
Wake Forest betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-10-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 8-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2 (197th in nation) | 43.3 (166th) | 31.8 (241st) | 31.4 (195th) | 15.3 (124th) | 11.8 (209th) |
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