The No. 4 seed Wake Forest Demon Deacons (21-10, 13-7 ACC) are 5.5-point underdogs in their ACC Tournament matchup against the No. 5 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (21-12, 13-7 ACC) on Thursday at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 2:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 147.
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North Carolina Cover -5.5 vs Wake Forest -112
North Carolina vs. Wake Forest betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -251
- Wake Forest moneyline odds to win: +205
- Spread: North Carolina (-5.5)
- Total: 147
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Tar Heels have increased their output a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 82.2 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 81.5 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- North Carolina’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (72.7) is 2.8 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (75.5).
- The Tar Heels’ last 10 contests have seen them make 9.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 43.6% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 8 makes and 35.7%.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-20-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 10-9-0 (As Favorite: 11-13-0; As Underdog: 2-7-0)
- O-U-P: 18-15-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-8 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 (32nd in nation) | 43.3 (140th) | 33.2 (105th) | 31.1 (184th) | 14.8 (94th) | 10.5 (116th) |
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Wake Forest statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Demon Deacons are scoring 72.9 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 2.4 more than their average for the season (70.5).
- Wake Forest is ceding 72.6 points per contest over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 68 points allowed.
- The Demon Deacons are sinking 0.5 fewer threes per game over their previous 10 games (5.2) compared to their season average (5.7), but they are producing a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (32.1%) compared to their season mark (29.2%).
Wake Forest betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-17-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 6-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 2-6-0 (As Favorite: 9-11-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
- O-U-P: 13-17-1 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 6-5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-3 (Home: 12-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (176th in nation) | 40.4 (27th) | 30.2 (289th) | 31.5 (204th) | 11.5 (318th) | 10.8 (141st) |
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