The North Dakota State Bison (23-7, 13-2 Summit League) are at home in Summit League play against the North Dakota Fightin’ Hawks (16-15, 10-5 Summit League) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET. The Bison are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the game. The point total is 152.5 in the matchup.
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North Dakota State Cover -11.5 vs North Dakota -116
North Dakota State vs. North Dakota betting lines
- North Dakota State moneyline odds to win: -926
- North Dakota moneyline odds to win: +588
- Spread: North Dakota State (-11.5)
- Total: 152.5
North Dakota State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Dakota State has covered the spread in the same percentage of games at home as road games (60%). It has covered six times in 10 games when playing at home and nine times in 15 games when playing on the road.
- Looking at over/unders, the Bison hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total five times in 10 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over eight times in 15 opportunities (53.3%).
- North Dakota State has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-1 (.900). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 8-1 (.889).
Recent trends
- The Bison have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 80.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.8 points fewer than the 81.0 they’ve scored this season.
- North Dakota State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 72.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.9 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
- During their past 10 contests, the Bison are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.6 compared to 9.3 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (37.9% compared to 36.2% season-long).
North Dakota State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-11-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 9-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 13-8-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 8-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 9-1; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.9 (79th in nation) | 45.0 (229th) | 32.8 (130th) | 28.6 (46th) | 15.5 (87th) | 10.4 (114th) |
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North Dakota statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, North Dakota has had better results on the road (10-4-0) than at home (7-6-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Fightin’ Hawks games have gone over seven of 13 times at home (53.8%), and seven of 14 on the road (50%).
- The Fightin’ Hawks, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-4) than on the road (6-6) this year.
Recent trends
- The Fightin’ Hawks are scoring 81.0 points per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 3.4 more than their average for the season (77.6).
- Over its past 10 games, North Dakota is surrendering 79.4 points per contest, 1.8 more points than its season average (77.6).
- The Fightin’ Hawks are draining 8.6 treys per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (8.1). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (36.6%) compared to their season average from downtown (33.5%).
North Dakota betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-11-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 10-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 5-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 12-8-0)
- O-U-P: 14-14-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 4-3; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-11 (Home: 2-4; Away: 6-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 (264th in nation) | 47.9 (344th) | 30.4 (267th) | 32.8 (290th) | 11.4 (339th) | 9.5 (40th) |

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