North Dakota State vs. UMKC betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UMKC Roos (4-23, 1-12 Summit League) are heavy underdogs (+19.5) as they attempt to stop an 11-game losing streak when they visit the North Dakota State Bison (22-6, 12-1 Summit League) at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Scheels Center. The game airs on Summit League Network. The over/under for the matchup is set at 147.5.

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North Dakota State Cover -19.5 vs UMKC -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

North Dakota State vs. UMKC betting lines

  • North Dakota State moneyline odds to win: -4348
  • UMKC moneyline odds to win: +1530
  • Spread: North Dakota State (-19.5)
  • Total: 147.5

North Dakota State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, North Dakota State has played worse at home, covering five times in nine home games, and nine times in 14 road games.
  • When playing at home, the Bison exceed the total 44.4% of the time (four of nine games). They hit the over more often on the road, eclipsing the total in 57.1% of games (eight of 14).
  • In nine home games as a moneyline favorite, North Dakota State has eight wins (.889). It sports an identical winning percentage (8-1 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.

Recent trends

  • The Bison have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 79.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.2 points fewer than the 81.1 they’ve scored this year.
  • North Dakota State has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 71.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.8 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2025-26 season.
  • The Bison’s past 10 contests have seen them make 9.5 three-pointers per game while shooting 38.9% from deep. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 9.1 makes and 36.2%.

North Dakota State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-10-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 9-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-12-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 8-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.2 (64th in nation) 44.9 (229th) 32.4 (164th) 28.5 (43rd) 15.1 (107th) 10.4 (113th)

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UMKC statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, UMKC is 1-8-0 at home against the spread (.111 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-11-0 ATS (.267).
  • In terms of the over/under, Roos games have finished over five of nine times at home (55.6%), and nine of 15 away (60%).
  • The Roos, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-8) than away (1-13) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Roos have played worse offensively in their last 10 games, tallying 67.8 points per contest, 2.5 fewer points their than season average of 70.3.
  • UMKC is allowing 85.5 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 2.0 more points than it is allowing for the season (83.5).
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Roos are making 6.7 three-pointers per game, 0.2 more than their season average (6.5). However, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (29.3%) compared to their season average (30.3%).

UMKC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 5-19-0 (Home: 1-8-0; Away: 4-11-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 19.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 0-1-0; As Underdog: 5-18-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-10-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-21 (Home: 0-8; Away: 1-13)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.9 (326th in nation) 47.9 (344th) 30.8 (259th) 35.7 (357th) 12.0 (313th) 13.1 (335th)
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