North Texas vs. UTSA betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UTSA Roadrunners (4-14, 0-6 AAC) are heavy underdogs (+14.5) as they attempt to stop an 11-game losing streak when they visit the North Texas Mean Green (11-7, 2-3 AAC) at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at UNT Coliseum. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 138.5.

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North Texas Cover -14.5 vs UTSA -123

Bet $20, Payout $36.26

North Texas vs. UTSA betting lines

  • North Texas moneyline odds to win: -1724
  • UTSA moneyline odds to win: +924
  • Spread: North Texas (-14.5)
  • Total: 138.5

North Texas statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • North Texas has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered four times in seven games at home, and it has covered four times in six games on the road.
  • Looking at point totals, the Mean Green hit the over more consistently in home games, as they’ve gone over the total two times in seven opportunities this season (28.6%). In road games, they have hit the over one time in six opportunities (16.7%).

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Mean Green have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 68.7 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 69.8 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
  • North Texas’ defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 65.5 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 64.8 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Mean Green’s last 10 outings have seen them make 6.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 31.8% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 6.3 makes and 32.7%.

North Texas betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-6-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 4-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 2-3-0; As Underdog: 8-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 3-12-1 (Home: 2-4-1; Away: 1-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-0 (Home: 5-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.8 (263rd in nation) 41.0 (51st) 31.2 (257th) 29.5 (100th) 12.8 (278th) 11.6 (203rd)

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UTSA statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, UTSA is 1-5-0 at home against the spread (.167 winning percentage). On the road, it is 1-7-0 ATS (.125).
  • In terms of the over/under, Roadrunners games have gone over less frequently at home (two of six, 33.3%) than on the road (five of eight, 62.5%).
  • The Roadrunners’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-5), and on the road it is .143 (1-6).

Recent trends

  • The Roadrunners are putting up 63.6 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 5.0 fewer points than their average for the season (68.6).
  • UTSA is ceding 88.2 points per contest over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 79.2 points allowed.
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Roadrunners are sinking 7.2 threes per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (7.7). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (27.4%) compared to their season average (28.6%).

UTSA betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 3-13-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 1-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 0-5-0 (As Favorite: 0-1-0; As Underdog: 3-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-9-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-12 (Home: 0-5; Away: 1-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
38.7 (363rd in nation) 43.7 (175th) 33.3 (147th) 37.2 (362nd) 11.4 (336th) 12.2 (259th)
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