Northern Colorado vs. Northern Arizona betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Northern Colorado Bears (17-10, 7-7 Big Sky) are big, 11.5-point favorites as they attempt to continue a six-game winning streak when they host the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (10-17, 4-10 Big Sky) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Bank of Colorado Arena. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is 149 in the matchup.

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Spread

Northern Colorado Cover -11.5 vs Northern Arizona -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Northern Colorado vs. Northern Arizona betting lines

  • Northern Colorado moneyline odds to win: -1111
  • Northern Arizona moneyline odds to win: +667
  • Spread: Northern Colorado (-11.5)
  • Total: 149

Northern Colorado statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Northern Colorado has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered four times in nine games when playing at home, and it has covered eight times in 13 games on the road.
  • The Bears have gone over the total in a lower percentage of games at home (55.6%) than games on the road (61.5%).
  • In nine home games as a moneyline favorite, Northern Colorado has six wins (.667). It sports the same winning percentage (6-3 record) as a moneyline favorite in away games.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Bears have been racking up 80.1 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 83.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Northern Colorado’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has given up 75.6 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 76.7 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • The Bears are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.3 threes per game and shooting 35.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 10.0 makes and 36.6% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Northern Colorado betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-10-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-6 (Home: 6-3; Away: 6-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.1 (27th in nation) 44.5 (197th) 33.8 (91st) 28.8 (53rd) 17.2 (30th) 11.1 (196th)

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Northern Arizona statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Northern Arizona’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .583 (7-5-0). Away, it is .455 (5-6-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Lumberjacks games have finished over six of 12 times at home (50%), and three of 11 away (27.3%).
  • This season the Lumberjacks are 3-6 at home when moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). On the road they are 1-10 (.091).

Recent trends

  • The Lumberjacks are scoring 70.7 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 1.9 fewer points than their average for the season (72.6).
  • Over its previous 10 games, Northern Arizona is ceding 78.2 points per contest, 2.2 more points than its season average (76.0).
  • The Lumberjacks are draining 8.1 treys per contest with a 37.5% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.6 and 37.1%.

Northern Arizona betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-11-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-0-0; As Underdog: 10-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 3-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-17 (Home: 3-6; Away: 1-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.0 (76th in nation) 47.4 (333rd) 27.6 (346th) 32.1 (245th) 13.6 (202nd) 10.1 (82nd)
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