The Sacramento State Hornets (5-11, 1-3 Big Sky) are 5.5-point underdogs as they look to extend a three-game home win streak when they host the Northern Colorado Bears (11-7, 1-4 Big Sky) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Hornet Pavilion. The matchup airs at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 165.
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Northern Colorado Cover -5.5 vs Sacramento State -116
Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State betting lines
- Northern Colorado moneyline odds to win: -256
- Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +207
- Spread: Northern Colorado (-5.5)
- Total: 165
Northern Colorado statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Northern Colorado has played worse when playing at home, covering one time in four home games, and six times in nine road games.
- In home games, the Bears go over the total 75% of the time (three of four games). They’ve hit the over in 66.7% of road games (six of nine contests).
- Northern Colorado has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 2-2 (.500). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 4-1 (.800).
Recent trends
- The Bears’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 80.2 points a contest compared to the 84.0 they’ve averaged this year.
- Northern Colorado’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 82.6 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 77.3 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Bears’ last 10 contests have seen them make 9.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down compared to their 2025-26 averages of 10.4 makes and 37.2%.
Northern Colorado betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-7-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 0-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-5-0 (Home: 3-1-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.9 (34th in nation) | 45.7 (283rd) | 32.8 (188th) | 28.9 (72nd) | 17.3 (42nd) | 11.3 (174th) |
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Sacramento State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Sacramento State has performed better against the spread at home (2-2-0) than away (3-7-0) this season.
- Looking at the over/under, Hornets games have gone over less frequently at home (two of four, 50%) than away (six of 10, 60%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Hornets have won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-1) and away (0-10).
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Hornets are averaging 77.6 points per game, 0.3 more than their season average (77.3).
- While Sacramento State is allowing 81.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 84.6 points per contest.
- The Hornets are draining 8.2 treys per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.3 more than their average for the season (7.9). That said, they have a worse shooting percentage from beyond the arc over their last 10 contests (31.2%) compared to their season average (32.7%).
Sacramento State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-9-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 3-7-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
- O-U-P: 8-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-11 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.7 (341st in nation) | 45.2 (260th) | 34.1 (108th) | 37.1 (361st) | 12.8 (275th) | 11.5 (191st) |

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