The Northern Colorado Bears (15-10, 5-7 Big Sky) are heavily favored (-10.5) to continue a four-game winning streak when they host the Sacramento State Hornets (9-14, 5-6 Big Sky) at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at Bank of Colorado Arena. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is 164.5.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Northern Colorado Cover -10.5 vs Sacramento State -111
Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State betting lines
- Northern Colorado moneyline odds to win: -735
- Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +499
- Spread: Northern Colorado (-10.5)
- Total: 164.5
Northern Colorado statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Northern Colorado has a worse record against the spread at home (2-5-0) than it does in away games (8-5-0).
- In terms of over/unders, the Bears hit the over less consistently at home, as they’ve gone over the total four times in seven opportunities this season (57.1%). On the road, they have hit the over eight times in 13 opportunities (61.5%).
- Northern Colorado has fared worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 4-3, compared to going 6-3 away from home.
Recent trends
- The Bears have been putting up 78.5 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Northern Colorado has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 76.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 77.1 it has conceded per game this season.
- During their past 10 outings, the Bears are making 0.9 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.1 compared to 10.0 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.3% compared to 36.9% season-long).
Northern Colorado betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- O-U-P: 13-9-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-6 (Home: 4-3; Away: 6-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0 (28th in nation) | 45.1 (248th) | 33.3 (118th) | 28.8 (58th) | 16.9 (41st) | 11.2 (187th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Sacramento State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Sacramento State is 7-2-0 at home against the spread (.778 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-8-0 ATS (.333).
- Hornets games have gone above the over/under more often at home (six times out of nine) than on the road (seven of 12) this year.
- The Hornets’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .600 (3-2), and away it is .000 (0-12).
Recent trends
- The Hornets are posting 81.6 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 2.5 more than their average for the season (79.1).
- Sacramento State has performed worse defensively in its past 10 games, allowing 83.3 points per contest, 1.4 more points than its season average of 81.9.
- Over their past 10 games, the Hornets are sinking 8.2 three-pointers per game, 0.1 more than their season average (8.1). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (37.8%) compared to their season average (34.8%).
Sacramento State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-10-0 (Home: 7-2-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 2-2-0; As Underdog: 9-8-0)
- O-U-P: 13-8-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 3-2; Away: 0-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (314th in nation) | 45.4 (260th) | 33.1 (132nd) | 36.7 (359th) | 13.7 (202nd) | 11.0 (169th) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
