The Northern Iowa Panthers (12-6, 4-3 MVC) are favored (-1.5) to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Valparaiso Beacons (8-10, 2-5 MVC) at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Athletics-Recreation Center. The game airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 130.5 points.
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Northern Iowa Cover -1.5 vs Valparaiso -109
Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso betting lines
- Northern Iowa moneyline odds to win: -124
- Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +103
- Spread: Northern Iowa (-1.5)
- Total: 130.5
Northern Iowa statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Northern Iowa sports a worse record against the spread at home (3-7-0) than it does in away games (3-1-0).
- In home games, the Panthers eclipse the over/under 40% of the time (four of 10 games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, topping the total in 50% of games (two of four).
- As a moneyline favorite, Northern Iowa has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.700) compared to road games (1.000).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Panthers have been putting up 65.2 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 69.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Northern Iowa’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 63.8 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 60.1 points per game its opponents average this season.
- During their last 10 outings, the Panthers are making 1.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.7 compared to 8.0 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (31.0% compared to 34.4% season-long).
Northern Iowa betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-9-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 6-10-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-4 (Home: 7-3; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (164th in nation) | 40.0 (34th) | 29.4 (315th) | 31.9 (228th) | 15.5 (106th) | 8.8 (sixth) |
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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Valparaiso has had better results away (6-2-0) than at home (6-3-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Beacons games have gone over less often at home (three of nine, 33.3%) than on the road (six of eight, 75%).
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Beacons have a better winning percentage at home (.333, 1-2 record) than away (.125, 1-7).
Recent trends
- While the Beacons are scoring 71.9 points per game in 2025-26, they have bettered that mark over their last 10 games, amassing 73.1 a contest.
- Valparaiso is surrendering 73.5 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 2.0 more points than it is allowing for the season (71.5).
- The Beacons are making 0.3 fewer treys per game over their last 10 games (6.8) compared to their season average (7.1), but they are delivering a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (34.2%) compared to their season mark (32.1%).
Valparaiso betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-5-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 8-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-2-0; As Underdog: 8-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.0 (339th in nation) | 43.4 (164th) | 33.0 (181st) | 32.3 (250th) | 11.8 (327th) | 10.4 (91st) |
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