Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for Dec. 29

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Valparaiso Beacons (6-6, 0-1 MVC) are heavy, 10.5-point underdogs as they try to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Northern Iowa Panthers (9-3, 1-0 MVC) on Monday, December 29, 2025 at McLeod Center. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 130.5.

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Northern Iowa Cover -10.5 vs Valparaiso -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Northern Iowa moneyline odds to win: -556
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +416
  • Spread: Northern Iowa (-10.5)
  • Total: 130.5

Northern Iowa statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Northern Iowa sported a better record against the spread when playing at home (12-4-0) than it did in away games (6-4-0) last season.
  • The Panthers eclipsed the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (43.8%) than games on the road (40%) last season.
  • Northern Iowa won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last year, going 13-3 (.812). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it had a record of 3-2 (.600).

Last season stats

  • The Panthers were 194th in the country in points scored (73.3 per game) and 50th in points allowed (67.4) last year.
  • Last season, Northern Iowa was 300th in the nation in rebounds (29.9 per game) and 70th in rebounds conceded (29.5).
  • Last season the Panthers were ranked 148th in the country in assists with 13.9 per game.

Northern Iowa betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-4-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 2-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 2-8-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (139th in nation) 36.9 (eighth) 29.7 (308th) 33.3 (288th) 17.3 (56th) 8.8 (sixth)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, Valparaiso is 4-3-0 at home against the spread (.571 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-1-0 ATS (.750).
  • Looking at the over/under, Beacons games have gone over two of seven times at home (28.6%), and four of four on the road (100%).
  • The Beacons, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than on the road (1-3) this year.

Last season stats

  • With 74.7 points per game on offense, the Beacons were 147th in the country last season. At the other end, they surrendered 73.9 points per contest, which ranked 238th in college basketball.
  • With 31.1 rebounds per game, Valparaiso was 229th in the country. It allowed 31.9 rebounds per contest, which ranked 226th in college basketball.
  • Last year the Beacons ranked 292nd in college basketball in assists, putting up 12.0 per game.

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-4-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 3-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-5-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 4-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 4-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.8 (324th in nation) 41.8 (103rd) 34.2 (140th) 32.7 (271st) 12.7 (296th) 10.3 (78th)
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