Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso betting: MVC Tournament preview for March 7

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 3 seed Northern Iowa Panthers (20-11, 14-6 MVC) are 8.5-point favorites in the MVC Tournament against the No. 11 seed Valparaiso Beacons (14-18, 6-14 MVC) on Friday at Enterprise Center. The contest tips at 9:30 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 138.5 points.

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Northern Iowa Cover -8.5 vs Valparaiso -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Northern Iowa moneyline odds to win: -450
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +345
  • Spread: Northern Iowa (-8.5)
  • Total: 138.5

Northern Iowa statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Panthers’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, putting up 70.1 points a contest compared to the 73.9 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Northern Iowa has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 66.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 67.3 it has conceded per game this season.
  • During their last 10 contests, the Panthers are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (7.2), while shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (36.4% compared to 36.7% season-long).

Northern Iowa betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-11-0 (Home: 12-4-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 8-0-0 (As Favorite: 16-6-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-18-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-5 (Home: 13-3; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.0 (14th in nation) 43.8 (179th) 30.1 (291st) 29.3 (72nd) 13.9 (155th) 10.1 (71st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • While the Beacons are putting up 75.3 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, producing 72.0 points per contest.
  • While Valparaiso is surrendering 74.4 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 75.1 points per contest.
  • The Beacons are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games (7.3) compared to their season average (7.6), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (32.3%) compared to their season mark (32.9%).

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-14-1 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 7-5-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 11-10-1)
  • O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 5-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-15 (Home: 3-5; Away: 3-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.0 (279th in nation) 46.1 (302nd) 31.2 (223rd) 31.9 (232nd) 12.0 (295th) 9.5 (32nd)
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