Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Northern Kentucky Norse (14-10, 6-7 Horizon League) are favored (-7.5) to break a four-game losing streak when they host the Green Bay Phoenix (12-12, 7-6 Horizon League) at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at Truist Arena. The contest airs on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 149.5.

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Spread

Northern Kentucky Cover -7.5 vs Green Bay -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay betting lines

  • Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -332
  • Green Bay moneyline odds to win: +262
  • Spread: Northern Kentucky (-7.5)
  • Total: 149.5

Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Northern Kentucky has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-4-0) than it has in road tilts (3-8-0).
  • The Norse have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (60%) than road tilts (72.7%).
  • Northern Kentucky has performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 7-3, compared to going 1-2 on the road.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Norse have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 82.4 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 83.5 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • The last 10 games have seen Northern Kentucky concede 2.4 more points per game (79.2) than its season-long average (76.8).
  • Over their last 10 contests, the Norse are making 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.7 compared to 9.2 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (32.3% compared to 33.3% season-long).

Northern Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-12-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 3-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-7-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 8-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (88th in nation) 45.3 (253rd) 32.4 (180th) 31.4 (201st) 15.5 (90th) 11.8 (242nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Green Bay statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Green Bay has a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 4-4-0 record) than away (.545, 6-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Phoenix games have gone over five of eight times at home (62.5%), and five of 11 on the road (45.5%).
  • The Phoenix’s winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .500 (3-3), and away it is .300 (3-7).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Phoenix are posting 76.6 points per contest, 2.0 more than their season average (74.6).
  • In its past 10 games, Green Bay is giving up 75.5 points per game, 0.8 fewer points than its season average (76.3).
  • The Phoenix are making 8.0 three-pointers per contest with a 40.2% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.4 and 35.9%.

Green Bay betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-9-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 2-1-0; As Underdog: 11-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-11 (Home: 3-3; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.2 (42nd in nation) 46.2 (296th) 28.0 (345th) 28.3 (42nd) 13.8 (194th) 9.7 (42nd)
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