Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay betting: Horizon League Tournament preview for March 8

Data Skrive

The No. 7 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (19-13, 10-10 Horizon League) play the No. 5 seed Green Bay Phoenix (18-14, 12-8 Horizon League) as 3.5-point favorites in the Horizon League Tournament Sunday at Corteva Coliseum, starting at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points.

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Spread

Northern Kentucky Cover -3.5 vs Green Bay -104

Bet $20, Payout $39.23

Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay betting lines

  • Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -154
  • Green Bay moneyline odds to win: +128
  • Spread: Northern Kentucky (-3.5)
  • Total: 145.5

Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Norse have been racking up 77.9 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Northern Kentucky has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 77.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 76.7 it has conceded this year.
  • The Norse’s 9.6 made three-pointers per-game average over their last 10 games are more than the 9.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of made shots, 31.7% compared to their season-long percentage of 33.5% from long distance.

Northern Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-17-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 5-10-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 8-9-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-10-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 10-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-7 (Home: 9-5; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (88th in nation) 45.4 (252nd) 32.2 (164th) 31.5 (214th) 15.5 (86th) 11.6 (244th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Green Bay statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Phoenix are averaging 76.0 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 1.2 more than their average for the season (74.8).
  • In its last 10 games, Green Bay is giving up 71.4 points per contest, compared to its season average of 74.2 points allowed.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Phoenix are making 7.2 threes per game, the same number as their season average. They own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (40.0%) compared to their season average (36.3%).

Green Bay betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-11-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 8-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 11-7-0 (As Favorite: 5-1-0; As Underdog: 14-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-15-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 4-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 11-12 (Home: 4-3; Away: 5-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.5 (34th in nation) 44.8 (220th) 28.1 (338th) 28.1 (31st) 13.8 (177th) 9.5 (40th)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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