Northern Kentucky vs. Purdue Fort Wayne betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 18

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Northern Kentucky Norse (16-11, 8-8 Horizon League) host the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (15-12, 9-7 Horizon League) in a matchup of Horizon League teams at Truist Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 18, 2026. The Norse are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s over/under is set at 154.

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Northern Kentucky Cover -5.5 vs Purdue Fort Wayne -115

Bet $20, Payout $37.39

Northern Kentucky vs. Purdue Fort Wayne betting lines

  • Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -257
  • Purdue Fort Wayne moneyline odds to win: +205
  • Spread: Northern Kentucky (-5.5)
  • Total: 154

Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Northern Kentucky has played better at home, covering six times in 12 home games, and three times in 12 road games.
  • The Norse have gone over the total in a lower percentage of games at home (58.3%) than road games (75%).
  • Northern Kentucky has played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 8-4, compared to going 2-2 in away games.

Recent trends

  • The Norse have seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 80.5 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.4 points fewer than the 82.9 they’ve scored this season.
  • Northern Kentucky has been more porous on defense as of late, giving up 79.4 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 76.8 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Norse are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.4 compared to 9.3 season-long), while shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (31.6% compared to 33.7% season-long).

Northern Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-15-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 3-9-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 6-10-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-8-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 9-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-6 (Home: 8-4; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.8 (90th in nation) 45.6 (265th) 32.0 (194th) 31.4 (204th) 15.5 (86th) 11.6 (229th)

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Purdue Fort Wayne statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Purdue Fort Wayne’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .455 (5-6-0). Away, it is .462 (6-7-0).
  • Mastodons games have finished above the over/under more often at home (seven times out of 11) than away (six of 13) this year.
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Mastodons have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (3-7).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Mastodons are posting 75.2 points per contest, 3.4 fewer points than their season average (78.6).
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has performed better defensively in its previous 10 games, ceding 76.3 points per contest, 0.6 fewer points than its season average of 76.9 allowed.
  • In their past 10 games, the Mastodons are making 9.1 treys per contest, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (9.5). They own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (39.6%) compared to their season average (35.4%).

Purdue Fort Wayne betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-11-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 8-2; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (82nd in nation) 46.4 (300th) 26.9 (357th) 34.0 (329th) 14.0 (171st) 9.2 (29th)
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