Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word betting: College basketball preview for March 3

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Northwestern State Demons (15-15, 11-8 Southland) bring a three-game win streak into a home matchup with the Incarnate Word Cardinals (16-14, 9-10 Southland), winners of four straight. The Cardinals are underdogs by 3.5 points in the contest, which begins at 7:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN+) on Monday, March 3, 2025. The point total is 131.5 in the matchup.

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Northwestern State Cover -3.5 vs Incarnate Word -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word betting lines

  • Northwestern State moneyline odds to win: -156
  • Incarnate Word moneyline odds to win: +131
  • Spread: Northwestern State (-3.5)
  • Total: 131.5

Northwestern State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, Northwestern State owns a worse record against the spread (5-7-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (10-5-1).
  • The Demons have gone over the total in six of 12 home games (50%), compared to five of 16 road games (31.2%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Northwestern State has won a lower percentage of its home games (.556) compared to away games (.667).

Recent trends

  • The Demons have been racking up 64.9 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 68.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Northwestern State give up 1.8 fewer points per game (66.5) than its season-long average (68.3).
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Demons are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.0 compared to 6.9 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (35.9% compared to 34.6% season-long).

Northwestern State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-12-1 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 10-5-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 3-4-1 (As Favorite: 5-7-1; As Underdog: 10-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 5-11-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 5-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-10 (Home: 1-1; Away: 4-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.9 (234th in nation) 41.5 (58th) 32.7 (138th) 30.0 (108th) 13.5 (192nd) 12.3 (279th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Incarnate Word statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Incarnate Word is 6-7-0 at home against the spread (.462 winning percentage). On the road, it is 8-5-0 ATS (.615).
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Cardinals’ games have finished above the over/under at home (30.8%, four of 13) compared to away (46.2%, six of 13).
  • The Cardinals’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-1), and away it is .200 (2-8).

Recent trends

  • The Cardinals have performed worse offensively in their last 10 games, tallying 68.6 points per contest, 5.0 fewer points their than season average of 73.6.
  • Incarnate Word has played better defensively in its past 10 games, surrendering 64.4 points per contest, 4.3 fewer points than its season average of 68.7 allowed.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals are draining 7.5 three-pointers per game, 0.6 fewer threes than their season average (8.1). They also have a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.5%) compared to their season average (38.4%).

Incarnate Word betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 9-7-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-16-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 8-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.2 (60th in nation) 45.0 (249th) 31.2 (223rd) 27.4 (18th) 12.6 (257th) 10.4 (98th)
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