The Penn State Nittany Lions (9-10, 0-8 Big Ten) are heavy underdogs (+11.5) as they try to break a four-game road losing streak when they square off against the Ohio State Buckeyes (13-6, 5-4 Big Ten) on Monday, January 26, 2026 at Value City Arena. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The over/under is 153.5 in the matchup.
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Ohio State Cover -11.5 vs Penn State -116
Ohio State vs. Penn State betting lines
- Ohio State moneyline odds to win: -820
- Penn State moneyline odds to win: +559
- Spread: Ohio State (-11.5)
- Total: 153.5
Ohio State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Ohio State has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (3-3-0) than it has at home (5-6-0).
- The Buckeyes have exceeded the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in six of 11 home matchups (54.5%). On the road, they have hit the over in three of six games (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Ohio State has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.900) compared to road games (.500).
Recent trends
- The Buckeyes’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 77.3 points a contest compared to the 82.1 they’ve averaged this year.
- The last 10 games have seen Ohio State allow 0.9 more points per game (73.2) than its season-long average (72.3).
- The Buckeyes are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 6.7 threes per game and shooting 31.0% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.8 makes and 33.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Ohio State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-2 (Home: 9-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 (27th in nation) | 42.1 (88th) | 32.4 (191st) | 28.5 (53rd) | 15.2 (109th) | 10.4 (94th) |
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Penn State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Penn State is 4-8-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). Away, it is 2-2-0 ATS (.500).
- Looking at the over/under, Nittany Lions games have finished over less often at home (six of 12, 50%) than away (three of four, 75%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Nittany Lions have won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-5) and away (0-3).
Recent trends
- While the Nittany Lions are putting up 76.5 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, tallying 70.6 points per contest.
- Penn State has performed worse defensively over its previous 10 games, giving up 84.1 points per contest, 6.7 more points than its season average of 77.4.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Nittany Lions are draining 8.0 treys per contest, 0.4 more than their season average (7.6). However, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (29.9%) compared to their season average (32.9%).
Penn State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-12-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-6-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
- O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-9 (Home: 0-5; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (114th in nation) | 48.5 (351st) | 27.8 (346th) | 31.1 (184th) | 13.4 (234th) | 8.8 (eighth) |
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