Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (51-15) are 7.5-point favorites against Jaylen Brown and the Boston Celtics (43-22) Thursday, March 12, 2026 at Paycom Center. The game tips off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK. The matchup’s point total is set at 216.5.
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Thunder Cover -7.5 vs Celtics -109
Thunder vs. Celtics betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -299
- Celtics odds to win: +240
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
- Total: 216.5
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Oklahoma City has a 15-19 ATS record in home games so far while going 27-7 overall in those contests.
- Oklahoma City’s record against the spread is 14-16 when playing as 7.5-point favorites or more in home games this season.
- Thunder games have gone over the set point total 17 times at home this year.
- Recent history hints at an edge to Oklahoma City to beat the total. This year its home games averaged a total of 228.3 points per contest.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have a 9-1 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread four times in those games.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to hit the over in five of those 10 games.
- The last 10 Thunder games averaged 226.0 total points, 9.5 more points than this matchup’s point total.
- Over their past 10 games, the Thunder have scored 5.1 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have won 49 of the 62 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (79%).
- Oklahoma City has a record of 39-8 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -299 or shorter (winning 83%).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 74.9%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (fifth in NBA) | 43.6 (first) | 43.8 (15th) | 45.8 (25th) | 25.5 (19th) | 12 (second) |
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Celtics Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Celtics have covered the spread 22 times on the road and are 22-12 in road contests.
- The Celtics have gone 6-2 ATS in road games this season when playing as 7.5-point underdogs or more.
- On the road this year, Celtics games have hit the over on the set point total 12 times.
- This season on the road the Celtics and their opponents have averaged a total of 225.8 points per contest, 9.3 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Celtics Recent Trends
- The Celtics are 7-3 overall and 7-3 against the spread in their past 10 contests.
- The final combined score of the last 10 Celtics games has exceeded the set total two times.
- The last 10 Celtics games averaged 219.4 total points, 2.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Celtics’ per-game scoring average across their last 10 games is 109.6, 4.9 points lower than their season-long per-game average.
Celtics Betting Records
- Boston has entered the game as underdogs 18 times this season and won nine, or 50%, of those games.
- The Celtics have played as an underdog of +240 or more once this season and won that game.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 29.4% chance of a victory for the Celtics.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 (16th in NBA) | 44.1 (second) | 46.2 (fourth) | 41.9 (seventh) | 24.5 (29th) | 11.3 (first) |
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