The Oklahoma City Thunder are double-digit 10-point favorites in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, MAX, and truTV. The series is tied 2-2. The matchup’s point total is 221.
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Thunder Cover -10 vs Nuggets -111
Thunder vs. Nuggets betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -448
- Nuggets odds to win: +345
- Spread: Thunder (-10)
- Total: 221
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Oklahoma City has covered the spread 29 times at home and is 36-6 in home contests.
- Oklahoma City has a 15-7-1 record ATS at home this season as 10-point favorites or more.
- Thunder games have gone over the set point total 25 times at home this year.
- Oklahoma City and its opponents have averaged a total of 227.5 points per home contest this season, 6.5 points greater than this game’s projected total.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have a 8-2 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- The Thunder’s last 10 games saw four go over the total.
- The past 10 Thunder games averaged 8.6 more points (229.6) than this matchup’s point total.
- The Thunder’s per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 0.1 points lower than their season-long average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have won 66 of the 79 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (83.5%).
- Oklahoma City has gone 33-4 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -448 or shorter (winning 89.2%).
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Thunder an 81.8% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (sixth in NBA) | 43.6 (first) | 44.8 (11th) | 44.9 (20th) | 26.9 (12th) | 11 (first) |
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Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Nuggets are 24-17 in road contests and have covered the spread 20 times on the road.
- This year, the Nuggets have a 1-3 record ATS on the road when playing as 10-point underdogs or more.
- The Nuggets have hit the over in 23 of their 41 road games this year with a set over/under (56.1%).
- The Nuggets and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.4 points per road contest this season, 11.4 points greater than this game’s listed total.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread six times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- Nuggets’ past 10 outings saw five go over the total.
- The last 10 Nuggets games averaged 219.0 total points, 2.0 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- Across their last 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 13.9 fewer points per contest compared to their 120.8 PPG season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- Denver has been underdogs in 20 games this season and won 10 (50%) of those contests.
- The Nuggets have played as an underdog of +345 or more once this season and won that game.
- The implied probability of a win by the Nuggets based on the moneyline is 22.5%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.6 (first in NBA) | 46.6 (12th) | 45.7 (fourth) | 42.5 (sixth) | 31 (first) | 13.5 (17th) |
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