The Denver Nuggets (33-16) are 7-point underdogs when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) in a showdown between the top-ranked teams in the Western at Ball Arena on Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The point total in the matchup is 224.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Thunder Cover -7 vs Nuggets -110
Thunder vs. Nuggets betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -243
- Nuggets odds to win: +199
- Spread: Thunder (-7)
- Total: 224.5
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Oklahoma City is 17-6 in road contests and has covered the spread 11 times on the road.
- Oklahoma City has a 9-7 record ATS on the road this season when playing as 7-point favorites or more.
- Thunder road games have hit the over on the set point total 13 times this year.
- Recent performance gives an edge to Oklahoma City to beat the total. This year its road games averaged a total of 229.5 points per contest.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have covered the spread four times in their last 10 matchups while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of those 10 games.
- The Thunder’s past 10 outings have ended with an average of 228.9 points scored. That’s 4.4 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- In the past 10 games, the Thunder are scoring 4.1 points less per game compared to their season average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have won 38 of the 49 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (77.6%).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -243 or shorter, Oklahoma City has a record of 35-8 (81.4% win percentage).
- The Thunder have a 70.8% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 (third in NBA) | 43.2 (first) | 43.6 (17th) | 45.6 (25th) | 25.4 (18th) | 11.7 (second) |
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Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- At home this season, Nuggets games have gone over the set point total 13 times.
- The Nuggets have a 12-11 record against the spread at home and is 14-9 in home contests.
- This season, the Nuggets have a 6-6 record ATS at home when playing as 7-point underdogs or more.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.6 points per home contest this season, 8.1 points greater than this game’s projected total.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have a 7-3 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- Nuggets’ past 10 games saw five go over the total.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 1.4 fewer points (223.1) than this matchup’s point total.
- The Nuggets’ per-game scoring average over their last 10 games is 110.0, 10.1 points lower than their season-long per-game average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- This season, Denver has been the underdog 16 times and won nine, or 56.2%, of those games.
- This season, the Nuggets have won four of their six games when they’re the underdog by at least +199 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Nuggets based on the moneyline is 33.4%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 (second in NBA) | 46.8 (16th) | 42.5 (24th) | 43.2 (ninth) | 28 (ninth) | 11.8 (third) |
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