The Oklahoma City Thunder (53-11) will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (first in the league scoring 32.9 points per game) when they attempt to hold off Nikola Jokic (third in the NBA with 28.8 PPG) and the Denver Nuggets (41-23) on Monday, March 10, 2025 at Paycom Center. The Thunder are 8.5-point home favorites in the game, which starts at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOK, ALT, and KTVD. The matchup’s point total is set at 239.5.
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Thunder Cover -8.5 vs Nuggets -114
Thunder vs. Nuggets betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -379
- Nuggets odds to win: +298
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
- Total: 239.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Oklahoma City is 29-4 in home contests with a 22-10-1 record against the spread at home.
- Oklahoma City has gone 11-7-1 ATS in home games this season as 8.5-point favorites or more.
- At home this season, Thunder games have gone over the set point total 19 times.
- Recent performance seems to go against Oklahoma City to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 226.1 points per contest this season.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have a 9-1 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The Thunder’s past 10 contests saw seven go over the total.
- The Thunder’s last 10 games have ended with an average of 234.5 points scored. That’s 5.0 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Thunder’s per-game scoring average over their past 10 games is 9.3 points higher than their season-long average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have been the moneyline favorite 62 total times this season. They’ve gone 52-10 in those games.
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -379 or shorter, Oklahoma City has a record of 28-5 (84.8% win percentage).
- The Thunder have an implied moneyline win probability of 79.1% in this matchup.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.9 (ninth in NBA) | 43.3 (first) | 44.8 (12th) | 45.7 (26th) | 26.8 (13th) | 11.1 (first) |
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Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Nuggets have a 15-18 record against the spread on the road and are 19-14 in road contests.
- This season, the Nuggets are 1-7 ATS in road games as 8.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Nuggets have gone over a set point total in a road game 17 times this year.
- This season on the road the Nuggets and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.6 points per contest, 6.9 points less than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have a 6-4 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread three times in those games.
- Nuggets’ last 10 games saw four go over the total.
- The Nuggets’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 238.6 points scored. That’s 0.9 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- In the past 10 games, the Nuggets are scoring 120.3 points per game compared to their 121.2 season average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- Denver has won seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Nuggets have played as an underdog of +298 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 25.1% chance of a victory for the Nuggets.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.7 (first in NBA) | 46.5 (14th) | 45.9 (fourth) | 42.4 (fourth) | 31.2 (first) | 13.4 (16th) |
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