The Denver Nuggets (41-22) are 7.5-point underdogs when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-11) in a battle of the top two teams in the Western at Paycom Center on Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is 243.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Thunder Cover -7.5 vs Nuggets -110
Thunder vs. Nuggets betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -315
- Nuggets odds to win: +252
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
- Total: 243
- TV Channel: ABC
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Oklahoma City has a 21-10-1 record against the spread at home and is 28-4 in home contests.
- Oklahoma City has gone 14-8-1 ATS at home this year as 7.5-point favorites or more.
- At home this year, Thunder games have gone over the set point total 19 times.
- Oklahoma City and its opponents have averaged a total of 225.5 points per home contest this year, 17.5 points fewer than this game’s listed total.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder are 8-2 overall and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to hit the over in seven of those 10 games.
- The Thunder’s past 10 outings have ended with an average of 232.8 points scored. That’s 10.2 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Thunder’s per-game scoring average over their past 10 games is 6.9 points higher than their season-long average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have been favored on the moneyline 61 total times this season. They’ve gone 51-10 in those games.
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -315 or shorter, Oklahoma City has gone 31-5 (86.1% win percentage).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Thunder have an implied win probability of 75.9%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (ninth in NBA) | 43.4 (first) | 44.6 (13th) | 45.7 (26th) | 26.8 (13th) | 11.2 (first) |
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Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Nuggets are 19-13 in road contests with a 15-17 record against the spread on the road.
- This season, the Nuggets have a 3-7 record ATS in road games when playing as 7.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Nuggets have gone over a set point total in a road game 17 times this season.
- This season on the road the Nuggets and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.2 points per contest, 10.8 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have a 7-3 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread four times in those games.
- The final scores of the past 10 Nuggets games have surpassed the set total five times.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 5.8 fewer points (237.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 3.1 more points per contest compared to their 121.5 PPG season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- Denver has been underdogs in 14 games this season and won seven (50%) of those contests.
- The Nuggets have played as an underdog of +252 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The Nuggets have a 28.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.8 (first in NBA) | 46.4 (14th) | 45.9 (fourth) | 42.2 (fourth) | 31.3 (first) | 13.5 (16th) |
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