Thunder vs. Warriors betting: NBA preview for Jan. 2

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) are heavily favored (-13.5) to extend a three-game winning streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors (18-16) at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, January 2, 2026 at Chase Center. The matchup airs on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK. The matchup’s over/under is set at 226.5.

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Spread

Thunder Cover -13.5 vs Warriors -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Thunder vs. Warriors betting lines

  • Thunder odds to win: -714
  • Warriors odds to win: +505
  • Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
  • Total: 226.5
  • TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Thunder Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • Oklahoma City has a 7-8 record against the spread on the road and are 12-3 in road contests.
  • Oklahoma City has a 1-2 record ATS on the road this year as 13.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Thunder have hit the over on a set point total in a road game eight times this season.
  • Recent performance gives an edge to Oklahoma City to beat the total. This year its road games averaged a total of 230.4 points per contest.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder have covered the spread five times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
  • The Thunder’s past 10 contests saw five hit the over.
  • The past 10 Thunder games averaged 3.9 more points (230.4) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • During their last 10 games, the Thunder have scored 2.1 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.

Thunder Betting Records

  • The Thunder have gone 29-5 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 85.3% of those games).
  • Oklahoma City has won all 15 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -714 or shorter.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 87.7%.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.4 (third in NBA) 43.3 (first) 44.4 (14th) 43.8 (14th) 25.9 (17th) 12 (second)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Thunder vs. Warriors? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Warriors Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • At home this year, Warriors games have hit the over on the set point total eight times.
  • The Warriors have an 8-6 ATS record in home games so far while putting up a record of 10-4 overall in those contests.
  • This year, the Warriors have a 1-0 record ATS at home as 13.5-point underdogs or more.
  • The Warriors and their opponents have averaged a total of 230.0 points per home contest this season, 3.5 points greater than this game’s posted total.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors are 6-4 overall and 4-6 against the spread over their past 10 games.
  • The Warriors and their opponents have combined to hit the over in seven of the past 10 games.
  • The last 10 Warriors games averaged 229.8 total points, 3.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Across their last 10 games, the Warriors have scored 6.0 more points per contest compared to their 115.6 PPG season-long scoring average.

Warriors Betting Records

  • This season, Golden State has won four out of the 10 games in which it has been the underdog.
  • The Warriors have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +505 moneyline set for this game.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Warriors based on the moneyline is 16.5%.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (25th in NBA) 46.5 (12th) 43.6 (20th) 44.8 (17th) 28.1 (eighth) 15.6 (29th)
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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

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What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …