The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) are heavily favored (-10.5) to extend a five-game win streak when they visit the Miami Heat (21-20) at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The game airs on FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG. The matchup has an over/under of 234.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Thunder Cover -10.5 vs Heat -115
Thunder vs. Heat betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -485
- Heat odds to win: +369
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
- Total: 234.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Oklahoma City has covered the spread nine times on the road and are 15-4 in road contests.
- Oklahoma City has gone 6-3 ATS in road games this season as 10.5-point favorites or more.
- Thunder road games have gone over the set point total nine times this year.
- Oklahoma City and its opponents have averaged a total of 229.7 points per road contest this year, 4.8 points fewer than this game’s listed total.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder are 8-2 overall and 4-6 against the spread in their past 10 contests.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to hit the over in four of those 10 games.
- The Thunder’s past 10 outings have ended with an average of 231.3 points scored. That’s 3.2 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Thunder’s per-game scoring average over their last 10 games is 1.4 points lower than their season-long average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have been the moneyline favorite 42 total times this season. They’ve finished 35-7 in those games.
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -485 or shorter, Oklahoma City has gone 23-2 (92% win percentage).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Thunder have an implied win probability of 82.9%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.9 (third in NBA) | 43.4 (first) | 43.9 (17th) | 45 (19th) | 25.6 (16th) | 11.7 (second) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- At home this year, Heat games have gone over the set point total 10 times.
- The Heat have covered the spread 12 times at home and is 14-7 in home contests.
- This year, the Heat are 1-1 ATS at home when playing as 10.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 237.9 points per home contest this season, 3.4 points greater than this game’s posted total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread six times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The Heat and their opponents have hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 237.2 total points, 2.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Heat have scored 0.1 fewer points per contest compared to their 119.4 PPG season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has won 10, or 43.5%, of the 23 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Heat have played as an underdog of +369 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The Heat have a 21.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 (17th in NBA) | 45.9 (fourth) | 45.3 (ninth) | 47.5 (29th) | 28.5 (seventh) | 14 (16th) |
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