Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (38-28) are 5.5-point underdogs against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (55-12) Sunday, March 16, 2025 at Fiserv Forum. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK. The matchup’s point total is set at 232.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Thunder Cover -5.5 vs Bucks -111
Thunder vs. Bucks betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -220
- Bucks odds to win: +181
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
- Total: 232.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Oklahoma City has covered the spread 20 times on the road and are 26-7 in road contests.
- Oklahoma City has gone 11-9 ATS on the road this year when playing as 5.5-point favorites or more.
- On the road this year, Thunder games have hit the over on the set point total 18 times.
- Oklahoma City and its opponents have averaged a total of 226.9 points per road contest this year, 5.6 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have covered the spread seven times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 9-1 record straight-up in those games.
- The Thunder and their opponents have hit the over in six of those 10 games.
- The last 10 Thunder games averaged 235.4 total points, 2.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- In their past 10 games, the Thunder have a points-per-game average 6.3 points above their season-long scoring average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have won 82.8% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (53-11).
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -220 or shorter, Oklahoma City has gone 40-9 (81.6% win percentage).
- The Thunder have an implied moneyline win probability of 68.8% in this contest.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.9 (eighth in NBA) | 43.7 (first) | 44.7 (13th) | 45.5 (25th) | 26.6 (13th) | 11.2 (first) |
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Bucks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Bucks have hit the over in 19 of their 35 home games this year with a set over/under (54.3%).
- The Bucks have a 20-15 record against the spread at home and is 24-11 in home contests.
- The Bucks have gone 12-8 ATS in home games this season as 5.5-point underdogs or more.
- This season at home the Bucks and their opponents have averaged a total of 227.8 points per contest, 4.7 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Bucks Recent Trends
- The Bucks have a 6-4 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of the past 10 games.
- The Bucks’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 232.6 points scored. That’s 0.1 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- Across their last 10 games, the Bucks have scored four more points per contest compared to their 114.9 PPG season-long scoring average.
Bucks Betting Records
- Milwaukee has won six, or 33.3%, of the 18 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Bucks are 2-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +181 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.6% chance of a victory for the Bucks.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.3 (fifth in NBA) | 45.3 (second) | 44.3 (15th) | 45.1 (23rd) | 25.3 (22nd) | 13.2 (13th) |
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