Pacific vs. Pepperdine betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Pacific Tigers (10-6, 1-2 WCC) are heavy favorites (-11.5) as they try to extend a seven-game home win streak when they take on the Pepperdine Waves (5-11, 0-3 WCC) on Sunday, January 4, 2026 at Alex G. Spanos Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 138.5.

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Spread

Pacific Cover -11.5 vs Pepperdine -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Pacific vs. Pepperdine betting lines

  • Pacific moneyline odds to win: -775
  • Pepperdine moneyline odds to win: +538
  • Spread: Pacific (-11.5)
  • Total: 138.5

Pacific statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Pacific has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in four opportunities at home, and it has covered four times in eight opportunities in away games.
  • The Tigers have gone over the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in one of four home matchups (25%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of eight games (37.5%).
  • Pacific has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 4-0 (1.000). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 2-1 (.667).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Tigers have been putting up 74.2 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Pacific has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 66.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 67.3 it has conceded per game this season.
  • While the Tigers are knocking down the same number of threes per game over their past 10 outings in comparison to their season-long average (7.1), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (33.5% from deep over the last 10, 34.7% on the season).

Pacific betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-5-0 (Home: 3-1-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-2-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 4-10-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 4-0; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.9 (72nd in nation) 41.2 (74th) 34.9 (97th) 25.9 (eighth) 14.8 (149th) 12.7 (277th)

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Pepperdine statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Pepperdine has performed better against the spread on the road (4-1-0) than at home (2-6-0) this year.
  • Looking at the over/under, Waves games have finished over three of eight times at home (37.5%), and one of five away (20%).
  • The Waves, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-5) than away (1-3) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Waves are averaging 63.7 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 7.1 fewer points than their average for the season (70.8).
  • In its last 10 games, Pepperdine is giving up 75.0 points per game, compared to its season average of 75.6 points allowed.
  • The Waves are draining 0.2 fewer treys per game over their previous 10 games (6.7) compared to their season average (6.9), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (29.9%) compared to their season mark (30.4%).

Pepperdine betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-8-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 4-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 4-10-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 1-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 1-5; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.9 (295th in nation) 45.2 (273rd) 31.0 (273rd) 30.9 (170th) 14.3 (185th) 12.4 (250th)
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