NFL playoff action in the AFC Divisional Round features Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes matching up against the Houston Texans at 4:30 PM ET on Saturday. Here is a breakdown of Mahomes’ prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you pick out your best bets.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Patrick Mahomes to go over 255.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Date: January 18, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 255.5 (-110)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 25.5 (-110)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has thrown for 3,928 yards (245.5 per game), completing 67.5% of his passes, with 26 TDs and 11 INTs.
- Mahomes’ passing yardage average this season — 245.5 yards per game — is 10 lower than Saturday’s over/under.
- In 16 games this year, Mahomes has gone over 255.5 passing yards on nine occasions.
- He has passed for more than his season prop average of 217.3 yards (by 28.2 yards per game).
- This year, Mahomes has topped his passing yards prop total in seven of 14 opportunities.
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in 14 of 16 games this season, with more than one TD throw eight times.
- Mahomes has added 307 yards on 58 carries and two touchdowns, averaging 19.2 yards rushing per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Texans
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 199 | 2 |
| 2 | Bears | 134 | 0 |
| 3 | Vikings | 156 | 4 |
| 4 | Jaguars | 155 | 2 |
| 5 | Bills | 126 | 1 |
| 6 | Patriots | 209 | 3 |
| 7 | Packers | 195 | 3 |
| 8 | Colts | 140 | 1 |
| 9 | Jets | 193 | 3 |
| 10 | Lions | 240 | 2 |
| 11 | Cowboys | 324 | 1 |
| 12 | Titans | 237 | 2 |
| 13 | Jaguars | 276 | 2 |
| 15 | Dolphins | 172 | 1 |
| 16 | Chiefs | 251 | 1 |
| 17 | Ravens | 181 | 2 |
| 18 | Titans | 229 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Chargers | 211 | 1 |
Chiefs Home Splits
- The Chiefs put up 23.8 points per game at home (1.2 more than their overall average), and concede 18.6 at home (0.6 less than overall).
- At home, the Chiefs rack up 348.1 yards per game and give up 321.1. That’s more than they gain (327.6) and allow (320.6) overall.
- At home, the Chiefs accumulate 245.1 passing yards per game and concede 224.6. That’s more than they gain (222.4) and allow (218.8) overall.
- At home, the Chiefs accumulate 103 rushing yards per game and concede 96.5. That’s less than they gain (105.3) and allow (101.8) overall.
- The Chiefs convert 47.7% of third downs at home (0.8% lower than their overall average), and concede 43.4% at home (0.1% higher than overall).
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