The Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, will square off against the Los Angeles Chargers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday for a Week 15 NFL contest. In this piece, we’ll dig into Mahomes’ stats and trends to help you find the top bets among his props for this matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Patrick Mahomes to go over 238.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 14, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 238.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 22.5 (-114)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has thrown for 3,398 yards (261.4 per game), completing 63.1% of his passes, with 22 TDs and 10 INTs.
- Mahomes is throwing for 261.4 yards per game, which is higher than his prop bet total for this contest of 238.5.
- In 10 of 13 matchups this season, Mahomes has topped 238.5 passing yards.
- His 261.4 passing yards per game average is 3.7 greater than his average over/under of 257.7.
- This season, Mahomes has finished above his passing yards total seven times (53.8%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 10 of 13 games (including multiple TDs five times).
- Mahomes has also helped out via the running game, with 407 yards (31.3 per game) on 62 attempts and four TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Chargers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | 249 | 1 |
| 2 | Raiders | 150 | 0 |
| 3 | Broncos | 147 | 1 |
| 4 | Giants | 89 | 1 |
| 5 | Commanders | 226 | 1 |
| 6 | Dolphins | 204 | 1 |
| 7 | Colts | 281 | 2 |
| 8 | Vikings | 130 | 1 |
| 9 | Titans | 118 | 0 |
| 10 | Steelers | 148 | 1 |
| 11 | Jaguars | 153 | 1 |
| 13 | Raiders | 125 | 2 |
| 14 | Eagles | 231 | 0 |
Chiefs Home Splits
- The Chiefs’ average points scored at home (25.1) is higher than their overall average (24.2). But their average points allowed at home (14.9) is lower than overall (19.4).
- The Chiefs’ average yards gained at home (380.7) is higher than their overall average (367.1). But their average yards allowed at home (250.1) is lower than overall (303.7).
- The Chiefs’ average yards passing at home (248.6) is higher than their overall average (248.2). And their average yards allowed at home (160.6) is lower than overall (204.2).
- At home, the Chiefs rack up 132.1 rushing yards per game and concede 89.6. That’s more than they gain overall (118.9), and less than they allow (99.5).
- The Chiefs convert 40.2% of third downs at home (equal to their overall average), and give up 38.8% at home (4.3% lower than overall).
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