EverBank Stadium features Week 5 action as the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday. Below we dig into Mahomes’ stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you make good predictions for this matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Patrick Mahomes to go over 248.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: October 6, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 248.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 22.5 (-114)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 939 yards (234.8 per game), completing 61.3% of his passes, with seven TDs and one INT.
- Monday’s over/under for Mahomes is 248.5 passing yards, which is 13.7 more yards than his average of 234.8 on the year.
- In four games this season, Mahomes has surpassed 248.5 passing yards two times.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 242.3. His actual passing average is below that — by 7.5 yards per game.
- This year, Mahomes has topped his passing yards prop total twice in four chances.
- He has thrown for a touchdown in all four games this year, including more than one touchdown pass one time.
- In addition Mahomes has contributed 130 rushing yards on 22 attempts (and two TDs), averaging 32.5 yards per game on the ground.
Recent Performances vs. the Jaguars
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panthers | 142 | 1 |
| 2 | Bengals | 302 | 3 |
| 3 | Texans | 184 | 1 |
| 4 | 49ers | 306 | 2 |
Chiefs Away Splits
- The Chiefs score 21.5 points per game in away games (2.8 fewer than overall) and concede 18 in road games (1.0 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Chiefs accumulate fewer yards (326.5 per game) than overall (332.3). They also concede more (337.5 per game) than overall (312.8).
- The Chiefs pick up 225 passing yards per game on the road (3.2 more than overall), and concede 227.5 away from home (41.7 more than overall).
- On the road, the Chiefs accumulate fewer rushing yards (101.5 per game) than they do overall (110.5). But they also give up fewer rushing yards in road games (110) than overall (127.0).
- The Chiefs convert more third downs on the road (44.8%) than they do overall (39.3%), but they also allow opponents to convert on more (34.8%) than overall (34.0%).
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