Week 5 NFL action pits Patrick Mahomes and his Kansas City Chiefs teammates against the New Orleans Saints at 8:15 PM ET on Monday Let’s examine Mahomes’ prop bets available for this matchup, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.

Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints
• Time: 8:15 PM ET
• Date: October 7, 2024
• Passing yards prop: Over 236.5 (-125)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 19.5 (-120)

Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends

• Mahomes has passed for 904 yards (226.0 per game), completing 68.6% of his passes, with six TDs and five INTs.
• Monday’s prop bet for Mahomes is 236.5 passing yards, which is 10.5 higher yards than his average of 226.0 on the year.
• In four matchups this season, Mahomes has exceeded 236.5 passing yards twice.
• His 226.0 passing yards per game average is 29.4 greater than his average over/under of 196.6.
• This season, Mahomes has not gone over on his passing yards prop total in three chances.
• He has thrown for a touchdown in all four games this year, with more than one TD pass on two occasions.
• Mahomes has also rushed 17 times for 61 yards.

Recent Performances vs. the Saints

Chiefs Home Splits

• In home games, the Chiefs score 26.5 points per game and concede 22.5. That’s more than they score (23) and give up (18) overall.
• At home, the Chiefs rack up 319.5 yards per game and give up 386. That’s less than they gain overall (328.3), but more than they allow (326.8).
• The Chiefs accumulate 209 passing yards per game in home games (6.8 less than their overall average), and give up 256.5 at home (28.7 more than overall).
• At home, the Chiefs accumulate 110.5 rushing yards per game and concede 129.5. That’s less than they gain overall (112.5), and more than they allow (99).
• The Chiefs’ offensive third-down percentage at home (29.4%) is lower than their overall average (42.6%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (40.7%) is higher than overall (34.7%).