Week 7 NFL action pits Patrick Mahomes and his Kansas City Chiefs teammates versus the Las Vegas Raiders at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday Let’s break down all of the prop bets available for Mahomes in this contest, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.

Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: October 19, 2025
• Passing yards prop: Over 258.5 (-111)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 22.5 (-115)

Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends

• Mahomes has passed for 1,514 yards (252.3 per game), completing 64.8% of his passes, with 11 TDs and two INTs.
• Mahomes passes for 252.3 yards per game. That’s 6.2 fewer yards than his over/under on Sunday.
• In six games this year, Mahomes has thrown for more than 258.5 yards twice.
• His 252.3 passing yards per game are 3.8 higher than his average prop bet of 248.5 yards.
• This year, Mahomes has exceeded his passing yards prop total in three of six opportunities.
• He has thrown for a touchdown in all six games this year, with more than one TD pass on two occasions.
• Mahomes has added 222 yards on 38 carries and four touchdowns, averaging 37 yards rushing per game.

Recent Performances vs. the Raiders

Chiefs Home Splits

• In home games, the Chiefs put up 28 points per game and concede 19. That’s more than they score overall (25.8), but less than they give up (20.7).
• The Chiefs’ average yards gained (343.7) and allowed (291) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 360 and 311.2, respectively.
• The Chiefs rack up 226.7 passing yards per game at home (14.6 less than their overall average), and concede 162.3 at home (29.7 less than overall).
• At home, the Chiefs rack up 117 rushing yards per game and give up 128.7. That’s less than they gain overall (118.7), and more than they allow (119.2).
• In home games, the Chiefs convert 35.1% of third downs and allow 37.1% to be converted by their opponent. That’s less than they convert (41.3%) and allow (38.8%) overall.