Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs take the field against the NFC’s Washington Commanders in a Week 8 NFL matchup at 8:15 p.m. ET Monday. Here is a breakdown of Mahomes’ prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you pick out your best bets.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Patrick Mahomes to go over 275.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Washington Commanders
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: October 27, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 275.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 21.5 (-112)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 1,800 yards (257.1 per game), completing 66.1% of his passes, with 14 TDs and two INTs.
- Compared to his 275.5-yard over/under for this contest, Mahomes is throwing for fewer yards per game — 257.1 — this year.
- In seven games this year, Mahomes has passed for over 275.5 yards twice.
- His average passing yards prop this season is 250.1, which he has surpassed by 7.0 yards per game.
- This year, Mahomes has gone over his passing yards prop total in four of seven opportunities.
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all seven games this season, with more than one TD pass three times.
- Mahomes has also chipped in via the running game, with 250 yards (35.7 per game) on 42 attempts and four TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Commanders
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giants | 157 | 0 |
| 2 | Packers | 269 | 2 |
| 3 | Raiders | 261 | 3 |
| 4 | Falcons | 307 | 2 |
| 5 | Chargers | 181 | 1 |
| 6 | Bears | 236 | 1 |
| 7 | Cowboys | 257 | 3 |
Chiefs Home Splits
- In home games, the Chiefs score 28.8 points per game and give up 14.3. That’s more than they score overall (26.6), but less than they give up (17.7).
- The Chiefs accumulate 366.3 yards per game at home (4.3 less than their overall average), and give up 242 at home (38.3 less than overall).
- The Chiefs’ average passing yards gained (240.5) and allowed (139.3) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 247.1 and 174.6, respectively.
- The Chiefs’ average yards rushing at home (125.8) is higher than their overall average (123.4). And their average yards allowed at home (102.8) is lower than overall (105.7).
- The Chiefs’ third-down percentages on offense (42.3%) and defense (31%) in home games are both lower than their overall numbers of 44.4% and 35.1%, respectively.
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