In the quarterfinals of the College Football Playoff, the No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions (12-2) will meet the No. 8 Boise State Broncos (12-1) in the Fiesta Bowl, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET in Glendale, Arizona. Penn State is favored by 12.5 points.

The Nittany Lions are expected to win by double digits (currently -12.5) against the Broncos. The over/under for this matchup is 54.5 points.

Keep reading to check out our betting primer for this this matchup between the Nittany Lions and the Broncos, and uncover all of our expert predictions here, too!

Penn State vs. Boise State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Nittany Lions (-12.5)
• Moneyline: Nittany Lions (-483), Broncos (+365)
• Total: 54.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Penn State vs. Boise State betting info and stats

Penn State is 7-7-0 against the spread so far this season. Penn State has an ATS record of 4-3 this season when favored by 12.5 points or more. Penn State has been listed the moneyline favorite 12 times this season, and has put up a 12-0 record in those games. Boise State has seven wins against the spread this season (7-5-0). In the one game Boise State has been an underdog by at least 12.5 points this season, it has covered the spread. This will be the second time this year Boise State is the moneyline underdog. The Broncos lost the first one.

Penn State vs. Boise State recent stats and trends

Penn State Nittany Lions

• Penn State has covered the spread twice in its past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
• Penn State and its opponents have combined to hit the over two times in those games.
• The last three Penn State games averaged 49.0 total points, 5.5 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.

Boise State Broncos

• Boise State has covered the spread once in its past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
• Once in those three games, the final combined score exceeded the set total.
• The past three Boise State games averaged 3.3 more points (57.8) than this matchup’s over/under.

Penn State vs. Boise State key players

Penn State Nittany Lions

• Drew Allar has 3,021 pass yards for Penn State, completing 68.5% of his passes and throwing 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions this season. He’s also contributed on the ground with 289 rushing yards (20.6 ypg) on 79 carries with six rushing touchdowns.
• Nicholas Singleton has carried the ball 145 times for a team-high 928 yards on the ground and has found the end zone eight times. He’s also tacked on 39 catches for 342 yards (24.4 per game) and five touchdowns via the passing game.
• Kaytron Allen has carried the ball 184 times for 892 yards (63.7 per game) and eight touchdowns.
• Tyler Warren’s 1,095 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 120 times and has totaled 92 receptions and six touchdowns.
• Harrison Wallace III has hauled in 43 receptions totaling 686 yards, finding the end zone four times as a receiver so far this campaign.
• Omari Evans’ 19 catches have yielded 360 yards and four touchdowns.
• Abdul Carter has racked up 11.0 sacks to pace the team, while also picking up 16.0 TFL and 50 tackles.
• Jaylen Reed, Penn State’s tackle leader, has 59 tackles, 1.0 TFL, two sacks, and three interceptions this year.
• Dominic DeLuca leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 22 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and three passes defended.

Boise State Broncos

• Maddux Madsen has thrown for 2,714 yards on 224-of-361 passing with 22 touchdowns and three interceptions this season. He has chipped on the ground, as well, with 224 yards and five rushing touchdowns.
• Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 2,497 yards on 344 carries so far this year while scoring 29 times on the ground.
• Cam Camper’s 837 receiving yards (64.4 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 55 receptions on 84 targets with four touchdowns.
• Matt Lauter has put together a 523-yard season so far with six touchdowns. He’s caught 43 passes on 63 targets.
• LaTrell Caples’ 55 targets have resulted in 34 catches for 443 yards and five touchdowns.
• Jayden Virgin leads the team with 10.0 sacks, and also has 10.0 TFL and 33 tackles.
• Ty Benefield has been all over the field, leading the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has 51 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two interceptions so far.