The Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) are favored by 2.5 points against the Miami Heat (31-28) on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and NBCS-PH. The matchup has an over/under of 240.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $39.23
76ers Cover -2.5 vs Heat -104
76ers vs. Heat betting lines
- 76ers odds to win: -135
- Heat odds to win: +114
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
- Total: 240.5
76ers Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Philadelphia has covered the spread 13 times at home and is 15-15 in home contests.
- This year, Philadelphia is 7-7 ATS in home games when playing as 2.5-point favorites or more.
- 76ers games have gone over the set point total 16 times at home this year.
- This season at home Philadelphia and its opponents have averaged a total of 230 points per contest, 10.5 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
76ers Recent Trends
- The 76ers have a 5-5 record straight-up in their past 10 contests, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- The final score of the last 10 76ers games has surpassed the set total six times.
- The 76ers’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 231.1 points scored. That’s 9.4 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The 76ers’ per-game scoring average during their last 10 games is 0.6 points lower than their season-long average.
76ers Betting Records
- The 76ers have been the moneyline favorite 34 total times this season. They’ve finished 23-11 in those games.
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -135 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 18-4 (81.8% win percentage).
- The 76ers have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.4% in this matchup.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 (23rd in NBA) | 47 (16th) | 43.4 (18th) | 44.8 (19th) | 24.7 (26th) | 13.2 (sixth) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat have covered the spread 19 times on the road and are 14-17 in road contests.
- This year, the Heat have a 6-3 record ATS on the road when playing as 2.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Heat have hit the over on a set point total in a road game 15 times this season.
- Recent performance seems to go against the Heat to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 235.8 points per contest this season.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread six times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
- The past 10 Heat games averaged 5.8 fewer points (234.7) than this matchup’s point total.
- In their last 10 games, the Heat have a 121 points-per-game average, one point above their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has won 13, or 44.8%, of the 29 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Heat have entered 25 games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 10-15 in those contests.
- The Heat have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (18th in NBA) | 45.8 (sixth) | 47.3 (second) | 47.2 (29th) | 28.8 (fifth) | 13.7 (11th) |
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