The Louisville Cardinals (11-5, 4-1 ACC) are underdogs (+4.5) as they attempt to extend a five-game winning streak when they visit the Pittsburgh Panthers (12-3, 3-1 ACC) at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Petersen Events Center. The contest airs on ESPN2. The point total is set at 149.5 in the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.69
Pittsburgh Cover -4.5 vs Louisville -107
Pittsburgh vs. Louisville betting lines
- Pittsburgh moneyline odds to win: -183
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: +152
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-4.5)
- Total: 149.5
Pittsburgh statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Pittsburgh has performed better at home, covering seven times in nine home games, and one time in four road games.
- At home, the Panthers exceed the over/under 55.6% of the time (five of nine games). They’ve hit the over in 25% of road games (one of four contests).
- In nine home games as a moneyline favorite, Pittsburgh has nine wins (1.000). It has an identical winning percentage (1-0 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.
Recent trends
- The Panthers’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 78.3 points a contest compared to the 81.6 they’ve averaged this season.
- Pittsburgh has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 73.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 68.9 it has conceded this year.
- The Panthers are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 8.2 threes per game and shooting 34.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.6 makes and 35.5% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Pittsburgh betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-6-0 (Home: 7-2-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 8-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-4-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-7-1 (Home: 5-3-1; Away: 1-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 9-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.3 (46th in nation) | 41.8 (107th) | 32.9 (181st) | 28.9 (67th) | 14.4 (148th) | 10.0 (48th) |
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Louisville statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Last year, Louisville was 5-11-2 at home against the spread (.278 winning percentage). Away, it was 5-6-0 ATS (.455).
- Cardinals games finished above the over/under 55.6% of the time at home (10 of 18) last year, and 45.5% of the time on the road (five of 11).
- In 2023-24 as moneyline underdogs, the Cardinals had a better winning percentage at home (.111, 1-8 record) than on the road (.091, 1-10).
Recent trends
- While the Cardinals are posting 77.6 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, producing 74.9 points per contest.
- Louisville is allowing 73.4 points per contest in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 69.8 points allowed.
- Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals are sinking 9.0 treys per game, 0.2 fewer threes than their season average (9.2). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (29.7%) compared to their season average (29.8%).
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-7-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-6-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 4-12-0 (Home: 2-8-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 (269th in nation) | 43.9 (224th) | 36.1 (41st) | 29.9 (116th) | 13.4 (221st) | 11.2 (151st) |
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