Portland vs. San Diego betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

The Portland Pilots (12-18, 5-12 WCC) bring a four-game losing streak into a home matchup with the San Diego Toreros (11-19, 5-12 WCC), losers of three straight. The Toreros are underdogs by 4.5 points in the contest, which starts at 4 p.m. ET (on ESPN+) on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The point total is 146.5 in the matchup.

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Spread

Portland Cover -4.5 vs San Diego -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Portland vs. San Diego betting lines

  • Portland moneyline odds to win: -197
  • San Diego moneyline odds to win: +159
  • Spread: Portland (-4.5)
  • Total: 146.5

Portland statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Portland has done a better job covering the spread in home games (10-5-0) than it has in road tilts (3-10-0).
  • Looking at point totals, the Pilots hit the over more often when playing at home, as they’ve exceeded the total nine times in 15 opportunities this season (60%). In away games, they have hit the over three times in 13 opportunities (23.1%).
  • Portland has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 5-1 (.833). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 0-1 (.000).

Recent trends

  • The Pilots’ offense has been much worse over their last 10 games, putting up 65.8 points a contest compared to the 74.2 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Portland’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 77.0 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 79.2 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • During their past 10 contests, the Pilots are making 0.6 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (5.5 compared to 6.1 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (29.7% compared to 30.0% season-long).

Portland betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 3-10-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 9-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-16-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 3-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-16 (Home: 4-5; Away: 1-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.3 (120th in nation) 44.6 (198th) 30.6 (258th) 30.6 (157th) 16.4 (46th) 13.5 (345th)

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San Diego statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, San Diego has been better at home (10-5-0) than on the road (4-8-0).
  • Toreros games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (six times out of 15) than away (six of 12) this season.
  • The Toreros, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-5) than on the road (1-9) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Toreros have performed better offensively in their past 10 games, tallying 75.7 points per contest, 0.3 more than their season average of 75.4.
  • San Diego is allowing 83.2 points per contest over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 78.8 points allowed.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Toreros are making 9.7 treys per contest, 0.4 more than their season average (9.3). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (36.6%) compared to their season average (35.2%).

San Diego betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 4-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 6-9-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 9-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-16-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 6-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-4 (Home: 4-3; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-15 (Home: 3-5; Away: 1-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.5 (224th in nation) 47.6 (336th) 28.7 (329th) 33.6 (326th) 16.1 (58th) 12.1 (288th)
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