Providence vs. Marquette betting: College basketball preview for March 4

Data Skrive

The Providence Friars (14-15, 7-11 Big East) are 4.5-point favorites as they look to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Marquette Golden Eagles (10-19, 5-13 Big East) on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at Amica Mutual Pavilion. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on Peacock. The matchup has an over/under set at 162.5 points.

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Providence Cover -4.5 vs Marquette -119

Bet $20, Payout $36.81

Providence vs. Marquette betting lines

  • Providence moneyline odds to win: -225
  • Marquette moneyline odds to win: +180
  • Spread: Providence (-4.5)
  • Total: 162.5

Providence statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Providence owns the same winning percentage against the spread at home (.600) as it does in road games.
  • The Friars have gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (73.3%) than games on the road (70%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Providence has picked up the win in nine of 11 games when playing at home, good for a .818 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game away from home (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Friars have been putting up 81.2 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 86.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Providence has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 80.8 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 84.4 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Friars are making 0.7 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.3 compared to 9.0 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.2% compared to 36.0% season-long).

Providence betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 7-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 20-9-0 (Home: 11-4-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-11 (Home: 1-3; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.0 (40th in nation) 44.3 (184th) 35.7 (31st) 31.9 (235th) 14.4 (139th) 11.4 (224th)

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Marquette statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Marquette has performed better at home (6-10-0) than away (4-7-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Golden Eagles games have finished over seven of 16 times at home (43.8%), and six of 11 away (54.5%).
  • The Golden Eagles, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-2) than away (1-10) this season.

Recent trends

  • While the Golden Eagles are putting up 74.9 points per game in 2025-26, they have bettered that mark in their last 10 games, amassing 76.0 a contest.
  • Marquette is ceding 74.8 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 1.7 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (76.5).
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Golden Eagles are sinking 8.0 threes per game, the same number as their season average. They sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (33.9%) compared to their season average (31.8%).

Marquette betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-18-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 8-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-5 (Home: 8-5; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-14 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.7 (274th in nation) 44.5 (195th) 30.9 (242nd) 34.7 (343rd) 15.3 (94th) 11.1 (205th)
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