Providence vs. Xavier betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 25

Data Skrive

The Xavier Musketeers (13-14, 5-11 Big East) are underdogs (by 5.5 points) to stop a seven-game road losing streak when they visit the Providence Friars (12-15, 5-11 Big East) on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 170.5 points.

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Providence Cover -5.5 vs Xavier -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Providence vs. Xavier betting lines

  • Providence moneyline odds to win: -240
  • Xavier moneyline odds to win: +192
  • Spread: Providence (-5.5)
  • Total: 170.5

Providence statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Providence has played better at home, covering eight times in 14 home games, and five times in nine road games.
  • The Friars have gone over the total in a lower percentage of home games (71.4%) than road games (77.8%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Providence has picked up the win in eight of 10 games at home, good for a .800 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game on the road (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Friars have been scoring 83.6 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 86.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Providence concede 0.6 fewer points per game (84.1) than its season-long average (84.7).
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Friars are making 0.8 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.3 compared to 9.1 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (35.8% compared to 35.5% season-long).

Providence betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-6-0; As Underdog: 7-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-8-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 7-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 8-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.7 (44th in nation) 44.2 (182nd) 36.1 (30th) 31.9 (235th) 14.8 (122nd) 11.9 (267th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Providence vs. Xavier? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Xavier statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Xavier is 9-7-0 at home against the spread (.562 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-5-0 ATS (.444).
  • Musketeers games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (12 times out of 16) than on the road (seven of nine) this year.
  • The Musketeers’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .400 (2-3), and away it is .111 (1-8).

Recent trends

  • The Musketeers are averaging 80.3 points per contest in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 78.1.
  • Xavier is allowing 84.8 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 5.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (79.1).
  • In their past 10 games, the Musketeers are sinking 9.1 treys per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (9.6). They own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.8%) compared to their season average (36.6%).

Xavier betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 10-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 20-7-0 (Home: 12-4-0; Away: 7-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-12 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.1 (253rd in nation) 46.9 (315th) 32.5 (148th) 34.5 (339th) 18.0 (16th) 9.9 (60th)
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