The No. 11 Illinois Fighting Illini (16-3, 7-1 Big Ten) are 5.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on an eight-game win streak when they visit the No. 4 Purdue Boilermakers (17-2, 7-1 Big Ten) on Saturday, January 24, 2026 at Mackey Arena. The matchup airs at 3 p.m. ET on FOX. The matchup has an over/under set at 154.5 points.
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Purdue Cover -5.5 vs Illinois -123
Purdue vs. Illinois betting lines
- Purdue moneyline odds to win: -277
- Illinois moneyline odds to win: +224
- Spread: Purdue (-5.5)
- Total: 154.5
Purdue statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Purdue has done a better job covering the spread in road games (3-2-0) than it has at home (4-7-0).
- The Boilermakers have eclipsed the total more often when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 11 home matchups (63.6%). In road games, they have hit the over in two of five games (40%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Purdue has won a higher percentage of its home games (.900) compared to away games (.750).
Recent trends
- The Boilermakers have been scoring 83.1 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 84.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
- The past 10 games have seen Purdue concede 0.9 fewer points per game (67.2) than its season-long average (68.1).
- The Boilermakers are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 8.5 threes per game and shooting 36.6% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9.1 makes and 38.4% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Purdue betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-10-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 7-9-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 9-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 9-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0 (11th in nation) | 42.6 (116th) | 34.7 (80th) | 26.6 (ninth) | 20.5 (third) | 9.3 (21st) |
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Illinois statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Illinois is 7-4-0 at home against the spread (.636 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-1-0 ATS (.750).
- Fighting Illini games have gone above the over/under 45.5% of the time at home (five of 11), and 50% of the time away (two of four).
Recent trends
- The Fighting Illini have performed worse offensively over their past 10 games, compiling 82.3 points per contest, 3.0 fewer points their than season average of 85.3.
- While Illinois is giving up 67.6 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark over its last 10 games, allowing 66.0 points per contest.
- The Fighting Illini are draining 11.6 treys per game with a 36.9% three-point percentage over their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 10.7 and 35.2%.
Illinois betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-7-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-12-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 10-1; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (86th in nation) | 39.6 (26th) | 39.0 (eighth) | 27.9 (33rd) | 14.8 (140th) | 9.4 (27th) |

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